rivomarkets

aaron3

+$56
Tracked Trades
988
First Seen
Jul 18, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Followers
3
Best In Baseball
74% won · 23 settled · +$1.1K

aaron3 is a Kalshi trader with 988 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 72 wins and 76 losses on settled markets, $56 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Full Game: over 42.5 points scored? on Sep 29.

Win rate
49%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$76.8K
Typical trade
$21
Copy score
41/100
Kalshi rank
#3,430

Profit over time

+$2.0K-$557
Aug 7Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢95%
20 to 40¢14532%
40 to 60¢50851%49%-1 pts
60 to 80¢16170%33%-37 pts
Over 80¢16486%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $724755%-$28
$7 to $2124727%-$138
$21 to $7524750%-$59
$76 to $1.8K24652%+$280

Categories

TradesWonProfit
WNBA47933%-$798
NFL17258%+$646
College football13837%-$1.0K
Baseball6674%+$1.1K
NBA93+$0
Tennis767%+$94

Side taken

Yes 46%54% No

If you had copied aaron3

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$67
Profit
on $14800 staked
72-76
Record
49% win rate
-0%
Return
293 still open
Profit over time148 settled trades
+$62-$1.2K
Jul 13Sep 28
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
1592% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.99×
Profit factor
$7.5K won vs $7.6K lost
-2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 51¢ avg
Longest losing streak
12
Deepest drawdown
75 trades

By category

other147 settled+0%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

97 open positions worth $23.6K

The markets aaron3 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what aaron3 is holding

Recent positions

Full Game: over 42.5 points scored?
Sep 29, avg 85¢
SELLNO$1.8KOpen
Full Game: over 42.5 points scored?
Sep 29, avg 50¢
BUYYES$1.0KOpen
Full Game: over 48.5 points scored?
Sep 28, 4 fills, avg 43¢
BUYYES$463+$613
See every position across 156 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMLBTOTAL-26SEP142140MIAAZ-15
    $598 on Yes, Sep 15
    +$648
  2. 2
    Full Game: over 48.5 points scored?
    $463 on Yes, Sep 28
    +$613
  3. 3
    Arizona wins
    $469 on Yes, Sep 15
    +$548
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Full Game: over 42.5 points scored?2+$0
LA Rams wins by over 1.5 points?180%-$863
Connecticut vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Over 173.5 points?11+$0
Los Angeles vs Dallas33+$0
Over 55.5 points scored14100%+$295

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$322
Sep 2026-$266

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