alvaroap21
+$517
- Tracked Trades
- 899
- First Seen
- Jul 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 23, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 37% won · 196 settled · +$370
alvaroap21 is a Kalshi trader with 899 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 127 wins and 208 losses on settled markets, $517 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 23.
- Win rate
- 38%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $46.9K
- Typical trade
- $17
- Copy score
- 33/100
- Kalshi rank
- #2,753
Profit over time
+$2.2K-$462
Jul 20Sep 23
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1009%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢22330%29%-2 pts
40 to 60¢28150%38%-12 pts
60 to 80¢20968%54%-13 pts
Over 80¢8690%92%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $322528%-$44
$3 to $1722533%-$156
$17 to $6722540%-$609
$67 to $1.0K22451%+$1.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin38736%+$255
Soccer30535%+$162
Baseball7230%-$467
Parlays5329%-$232
Tennis975%+$98
Esports18100%+$210
Side taken
Yes 62%38% No
If you had copied alvaroap21
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$6846
Profit
on $33500 staked
127-208
Record
38% win rate
-20%
Return
224 still open
+$68-$6.8K
Jul 6Sep 21
-$7.7K
Max drawdown
948% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.67×
Profit factor
$14.0K won vs $20.8K lost
-6.9 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 45¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 41
- Deepest drawdown
- 204 trades
By category
other334 settled-21%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
87 open positions worth $11.0K
The markets alvaroap21 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 23, avg 87¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 23, 28 fills, avg 33¢
Bitcoin price on Sep 23, 2026?
Sep 23, 4 fills, avg 67¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$812BTC price up in next 15 mins?$285 on No, Sep 22
- 2+$454Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins?$533 on Yes, Sep 15
- 3+$410BTC price up in next 15 mins?$252 on Yes, Sep 14
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?28431%-$340
Bitcoin price on Sep 22, 2026?2070%+$415
Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner?8+$0
Santa Clara Azores vs Nacional Winner?8+$0
Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026?358%-$140
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 26Sep 23
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$60
Aug 2026-$291
Sep 2026+$868
Similar Kalshi traders
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