bold.jay6253
+$2.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,880
- First Seen
- Aug 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 20, 2026
- Followers
- 27
- Best In Bitcoin
- 41% won · 1,257 settled · +$2.5K
bold.jay6253 is a Kalshi trader with 1,880 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 516 wins and 741 losses on settled markets, $2.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 20.
- Win rate
- 41%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $179.3K
- Typical trade
- $20
- Copy score
- 38/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,655
Profit over time
+$6.5K-$2.9K
Aug 26Sep 20
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢22811%21%+10 pts
20 to 40¢99830%38%+8 pts
40 to 60¢49847%51%+4 pts
60 to 80¢13373%54%-19 pts
Over 80¢2386%50%-36 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $247039%+$26
$2 to $2047039%+$331
$20 to $10847043%+$3.6K
$108 to $2.7K47043%-$1.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin188041%+$2.5K
Side taken
Yes 60%40% No
If you had copied bold.jay6253
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$18746
Profit
on $125700 staked
516-741
Record
41% win rate
+15%
Return
+$22.1K-$100
Aug 24Sep 14
-$12.3K
Max drawdown
54% below peak
1.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.25×
Profit factor
$92.8K won vs $74.1K lost
+5.6 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 44
- Deepest drawdown
- 379 trades
By category
other1232 settled+16%
crypto25 settled-57%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 20, avg 45¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 19, avg 52¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 19, avg 75¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$7.2KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$3.6K on Yes, Sep 4
- 2+$2.9KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$600 on No, Sep 18
- 3+$2.7KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.3K on No, Sep 4
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?188041%+$2.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 23Sep 20
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$505
Sep 2026+$3.0K
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