cliff.chance
+$360
- Tracked Trades
- 199
- First Seen
- Oct 21, 2023
- Last Trade
- Jul 6, 2026
cliff.chance is a Kalshi trader with 199 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 7 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $360 net profit on those trades.
- Win rate
- 100%
- Return on settled
- +89%
- Money traded
- $310.9K
- Typical trade
- $6
- Copy score
- 61/100
- Kalshi rank
- #3,063
Profit over time
+$360+$0
Dec 11Jul 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢134%
40 to 60¢2147%100%+53 pts
60 to 80¢374%100%+26 pts
Over 80¢16299%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $450+$0
$4 to $650+$0
$6 to $2150100%+$29
$23 to $100K49100%+$331
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer26100%+$327
Other sports146+$0
US politics7100%+$33
Companies4+$0
Tennis7+$0
Weather4+$0
Side taken
Yes 8%92% No
If you had copied cliff.chance
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$624
Profit
on $600 staked
6-0
Record
100% win rate
+104%
Return
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 6 so far.
By category
sports6 settled+104%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Mexico vs England: To Advance
Jul 6, 8 fills, avg 49¢
Mexico vs England: To Advance
Jul 6, 6 fills, avg 49¢
Will the Australia win the 2026 Men's World Cup?
Jul 3, avg 100¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$327Mexico vs England: To Advance$314 on No, Jul 6
- 2+$33Will Harvard leave her position as university president?$91 on Yes, Dec 11
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will the Paraguay win the 2026 Men's World Cup?2+$0
Will the Senegal win the 2026 Men's World Cup?2+$0
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 Men's World Cup?2+$0
Will the Australia win the 2026 Men's World Cup?1+$0
Who will be the next coach out in NFL?146+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Apr 8Jul 6
Profit by month
Dec 2023+$33
Jul 2026+$327
Similar Kalshi traders
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