cold.thread
-$13.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 827
- First Seen
- Dec 25, 2025
- Last Trade
- Sep 27, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In NBA
- 47% won · 78 settled · +$4.2K
cold.thread is a Kalshi trader with 827 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 145 wins and 217 losses on settled markets, -$13.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: LA Rams wins by over 1.5 points? on Sep 27.
- Win rate
- 40%
- Return on settled
- -12%
- Money traded
- $255.4K
- Typical trade
- $242
- Copy score
- 35/100
- Kalshi rank
- #4,364
Profit over time
+$518-$22.2K
Dec 27Sep 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢947%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢6830%20%-11 pts
40 to 60¢59051%46%-5 pts
60 to 80¢7167%94%+27 pts
Over 80¢483%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5820725%-$1.1K
$59 to $24220737%-$3.1K
$242 to $48320743%-$3.6K
$483 to $2.5K20651%-$5.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College basketball29447%+$564
NBA21247%+$4.2K
NFL6718%-$8.7K
Soccer5963%+$1.6K
College football10849%+$3.9K
Golf572%-$14.0K
Side taken
Yes 71%29% No
If you had copied cold.thread
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$391
Profit
on $5500 staked
26-29
Record
47% win rate
-7%
Return
37 still open
+$197-$806
Jun 29Sep 21
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
477% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$2.5K won vs $2.9K lost
-3.1 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 50¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 29 trades
By category
sports6 settled+52%
other49 settled-14%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
14 open positions worth $13.0K
The markets cold.thread is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
LA Rams wins by over 1.5 points?
Sep 27, avg 53¢
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP27BALDAL-BAL4
Sep 27, avg 48¢
Oregon wins by over 2.5 points
Sep 27, 4 fills, avg 50¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.4KWill the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?$1.4K on Yes, Jun 2
- 2+$1.6KSan Antonio wins by over 8.5 Points?$1.4K on Yes, Feb 6
- 3+$1.6KGeorgia wins by over 2.5 Points?$1.8K on No, Mar 20
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will Scottie Scheffler win the The Genesis Invitational?30%-$4.7K
Oklahoma City wins by over 6.5 Points?16+$0
Will the France win the 2026 Men's World Cup?7+$0
San Antonio wins by over 8.5 Points?9100%+$1.6K
Houston wins by over 5.5 Points?7100%+$1.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 30Sep 27
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$542
Jan 2026-$6.4K
Feb 2026-$6.2K
Mar 2026+$143
Apr 2026-$6.5K
May 2026-$1.8K
Jun 2026+$5.2K
Jul 2026-$589
Aug 2026+$429
Sep 2026+$2.5K
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