rivomarkets

consensualbets

+$3.8K
Tracked Trades
2,539
First Seen
Aug 2, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 21, 2026
Followers
16
Best In Tennis
97% won · 555 settled · +$9.4K

consensualbets is a Kalshi trader with 2,539 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1,088 wins and 55 losses on settled markets, $3.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Talia Gibson wins on Sep 21.

Win rate
95%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$725.2K
Typical trade
$28
Copy score
94/100
Kalshi rank
#1,222

Profit over time

+$7.6K-$2.4K
Aug 3Sep 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3514%0%-4 pts
20 to 40¢6129%71%+43 pts
40 to 60¢11151%68%+17 pts
60 to 80¢12971%81%+10 pts
Over 80¢188794%97%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $563597%+$56
$5 to $2863597%+$169
$28 to $22563594%+$1.6K
$225 to $9.3K63493%+$2.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis126897%+$9.4K
Baseball34898%-$5.1K
Soccer45899%+$1.6K
Parlays6047%+$159
WNBA90100%+$418
College football12573%-$3.6K

Side taken

Yes 81%19% No

If you had copied consensualbets

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$5626
Profit
on $114300 staked
1088-55
Record
95% win rate
+5%
Return
949 still open
Profit over time1143 settled trades
+$5.6K-$539
Jul 27Sep 21
-$900
Max drawdown
28% below peak
6.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.02×
Profit factor
$11.1K won vs $5.5K lost
+3.7 pts
Edge vs implied
95% won at 91¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
9 trades

By category

sports27 settled+8%
other1089 settled+5%
culture27 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

161 open positions worth $287.1K

The markets consensualbets is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what consensualbets is holding

Recent positions

Talia Gibson wins
Sep 21, 3 fills, avg 84¢
BUYYES$4.0K+$753
Yui Chikaraishi wins
Sep 21, avg 93¢
BUYYES$4.0K+$300
Maya Joint wins
Sep 21, avg 69¢
BUYYES$3.9K+$1.8K
See every position across 413 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Maya Joint wins
    $3.9K on Yes, Sep 21
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    Elina Svitolina wins
    $14.5K on Yes, Sep 3
    +$1.4K
  3. 3
    Frances Tiafoe wins
    $963 on Yes, Sep 1
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
KXMLBGAME-26SEP022210STLLAD-LAD60%-$7.8K
Elina Svitolina wins14100%+$1.4K
Frances Tiafoe wins13100%+$2.3K
Will Carmen Andreea Herea win the Sharma vs Herea: W35 Southaven MS Round of 32 match?20+$0
Will Iga Swiatek win the Bejlek vs Swiatek: Round Of 64 match?11+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 24Sep 21

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$78
Sep 2026+$3.9K

Similar Kalshi traders

Build a bot that copies consensualbets.

Bring consensualbets into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.