convinced.crab
+$504
- Tracked Trades
- 4,080
- First Seen
- Sep 12, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In WNBA
- 83% won · 223 settled · +$5.0K
convinced.crab is a Kalshi trader with 4,080 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1,081 wins and 793 losses on settled markets, $504 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: CHI Bears wins by over 13.5 points? on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 58%
- Return on settled
- +0%
- Money traded
- $273.8K
- Typical trade
- $13
- Copy score
- 55/100
- Kalshi rank
- #2,899
Profit over time
+$9.5K-$4.7K
Sep 12Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢53310%13%+3 pts
20 to 40¢65931%40%+9 pts
40 to 60¢126948%59%+11 pts
60 to 80¢62271%72%+1 pts
Over 80¢99790%96%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4102045%+$434
$4 to $13102058%+$777
$13 to $41102063%+$1.9K
$41 to $1.9K102065%-$2.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College football211949%-$5.2K
NFL161662%+$706
WNBA34583%+$5.0K
Side taken
Yes 46%54% No
If you had copied convinced.crab
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$47174
Profit
on $187400 staked
1081-793
Record
58% win rate
+25%
Return
23 still open
+$48.3K-$13
Sep 7Sep 28
-$22.4K
Max drawdown
37% below peak
2.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.59×
Profit factor
$126.5K won vs $79.3K lost
+7.6 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 50¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 55
- Deepest drawdown
- 777 trades
By category
other1793 settled+26%
sports80 settled+3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
12 open positions worth $1.4K
The markets convinced.crab is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
CHI Bears wins by over 13.5 points?
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 52¢
CHI Bears wins by over 17.5 points?
Sep 29, avg 71¢
Full Game: over 38.5 points scored?
Sep 29, avg 46¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.4KOver 142.5 points scored$2.1K on Yes, Sep 24
- 2+$2.3KOver 24.5 points scored$1.3K on Yes, Sep 26
- 3+$2.0KUAB wins$1.8K on Yes, Sep 26
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
ATL Falcons wins by over 20.5 points?204100%+$82
Indiana wins by over 7.5 points580%-$1.0K
Full Game: over 33.5 points scored?28100%+$1.5K
Over 47.5 points scored2410%-$3.4K
Over 39.5 points scored5476%-$586
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$504
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