rivomarkets

dumb.weed

+$954
Tracked Trades
130
First Seen
Feb 9, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Followers
1
Best In Bitcoin
50% won · 20 settled · +$5

dumb.weed is a Kalshi trader with 130 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 24 wins and 70 losses on settled markets, $954 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 28.

Win rate
26%
Return on settled
+205%
Money traded
$1.9K
Typical trade
$4
Copy score
16/100
Kalshi rank
#2,491

Profit over time

+$968-$167
Feb 9Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢536%2%-4 pts
20 to 40¢2531%31%+0 pts
40 to 60¢1848%39%-9 pts
60 to 80¢1867%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢1695%100%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $13310%-$11
$1 to $53322%-$32
$5 to $93235%-$15
$9 to $1.0K3244%+$1.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays350%+$1.1K
Commodities8014%-$135
Bitcoin2750%+$5
Soccer750%-$27
NFL450%-$2
Hockey1+$0

Side taken

Yes 59%41% No

If you had copied dumb.weed

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$7096
Profit
on $9200 staked
22-70
Record
24% win rate
+77%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time92 settled trades
+$7.1K+$0
Sep 21Sep 28
-$4.9K
Max drawdown
1546% below peak
1.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.01×
Profit factor
$14.1K won vs $7.0K lost
-1.9 pts
Edge vs implied
24% won at 26¢ avg
Longest losing streak
21
Deepest drawdown
63 trades

By category

other92 settled+77%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $10

The markets dumb.weed is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what dumb.weed is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 28, avg 92¢
SELLNO$1.0KOpen
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 28, 4 fills, avg 45¢
BUYNO$15-$15
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 28, avg 33¢
SELLYES$10Open
See every position across 42 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Japan,yes Uruguay,yes Palestine,yes France,yes Bosnia and Herzegovina,yes Sweden
    $9 on Yes, Sep 28
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    Gold price up in next 15 mins?
    $8 on No, Sep 28
    +$15
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $14 on No, Sep 27
    +$15
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
Gold price up in next 15 mins?7913%-$138
BTC price up in next 15 mins?2750%+$5
Will the Seattle win the 2026 Pro Football Championship?2100%+$15
England wins20%-$24

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Feb 2026+$15
Sep 2026+$939

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