rivomarkets

equivalent.treefrog8198

+$71
Tracked Trades
229
First Seen
Sep 22, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Followers
3

equivalent.treefrog8198 is a Kalshi trader with 229 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 3 wins and 62 losses on settled markets, $71 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Marat Sharipov,yes Adam Walton,yes Arthur Fils,yes Arthur Gea,yes Pablo Carreno Busta,yes Jaume Munar,yes Alex Molcan,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp,yes Honduras,yes PARIVISION,yes Team Spirit,yes Brazil,yes Russia,yes Riko Kikawada,yes Maiko Uchijima,yes Sofia Costoulas,yes Kyoka Okamura,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Harriet Dart,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Katarzyna Kawa,yes Aliaksandra Sasnovich on Sep 29.

Win rate
5%
Return on settled
+82%
Money traded
$1.7K
Typical trade
$1
Copy score
2/100
Kalshi rank
#3,384

Profit over time

+$151+$0
Sep 23Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1952%2%+0 pts
20 to 40¢629%33%+5 pts
40 to 60¢157%100%+43 pts
Over 80¢1890%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $0550%-$7
$0 to $15512%-$8
$1 to $2550%-$19
$2 to $952558%+$106

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays1742%-$59
WNBA1033%+$147
College football6+$0
Golf750%-$0
Weather2+$0
Commodities140%-$2

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied equivalent.treefrog8198

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2590
Profit
on $6400 staked
3-61
Record
5% win rate
-40%
Return
134 still open
Profit over time64 settled trades
+$0-$2.6K
Sep 21Sep 28
-$5.8K
Max drawdown
180% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.58×
Profit factor
$3.5K won vs $6.1K lost
+0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
5% won at 4¢ avg
Longest losing streak
34
Deepest drawdown
63 trades

By category

sports61 settled-38%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

121 open positions worth $170

The markets equivalent.treefrog8198 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what equivalent.treefrog8198 is holding

Recent positions

yes Marat Sharipov,yes Adam Walton,yes Arthur Fils,yes Arthur Gea,yes Pablo Carreno Busta,yes Jaume Munar,yes Alex Molcan,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp,yes Honduras,yes PARIVISION,yes Team Spirit,yes Brazil,yes Russia,yes Riko Kikawada,yes Maiko Uchijima,yes Sofia Costoulas,yes Kyoka Okamura,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Harriet Dart,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Katarzyna Kawa,yes Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Sep 29, avg 0¢
BUYYES$1Open
yes Olimpia,yes Marat Sharipov,yes Adam Walton,yes Arthur Fils,yes Arthur Gea,yes Pablo Carreno Busta,yes Jaume Munar,yes Alex Molcan,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp,yes Juventude RS,yes Saint Kitts and Nevis,yes PARIVISION,yes Team Spirit,yes Brazil,yes Russia,yes Anthony Susanto,yes Yua Taka,yes India A,yes Wanderers,yes Sofia Costoulas,yes Kyoka Okamura,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Harriet Dart,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Katarzyna Kawa,yes Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Sep 29, avg 0¢
BUYYES$1Open
yes Marat Sharipov,yes Adam Walton,yes Arthur Fils,yes Arthur Gea,yes Pablo Carreno Busta,yes Jaume Munar,yes Alex Molcan,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp,yes Tie,yes PARIVISION,yes Team Spirit,yes Brazil,yes Russia,yes Wanderers,yes Sofia Costoulas,yes Kyoka Okamura,yes Alexandra Shubladze,yes Harriet Dart,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Katarzyna Kawa,yes Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Sep 28, avg 0¢
BUYYES$2-$2
See every position across 180 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Portland wins
    $5 on Yes, Sep 23
    +$151
  2. 2
    yes Joe Burrow: 2+,yes Joe Burrow: 250+
    $0 on Yes, Sep 27
    +$1
  3. 3
    Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G: Yuna Nishimura wins
    $1 on Yes, Sep 27
    +$1
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo,yes Titouan Droguet,yes Facundo Mena,yes Gremio Novorizontino,yes Vila Nova,yes Cozad / Goode,yes Andre / Felipe Miguel,yes Brostrom Poulsen / Slavic,yes Garcian / Nagel,yes Mateus Alves,yes William Jansen,yes Sean Daryabeigi,yes Nicolas Zanellato,yes Janae Preston,yes Angela Fita Boluda,yes Girona,yes Gotham,yes San Diego Wave FC,yes Seattle Reign,yes Sweden,yes El Paso Locomotive FC,yes Mia Pohankova,yes Amelia Rajecki2+$0
yes Clemson,yes Ohio St.,yes Michigan,yes Ole Miss,yes TCU,yes Texas,yes New Mexico,yes Kentucky,yes Utah,yes Louisville2+$0
Portland wins8100%+$151
Tennessee wins 1st Half / Texas wins game6+$0
Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G: Lottie Woad wins3+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$72

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