EthanW
ethanw
+$297
- Tracked Trades
- 653
- First Seen
- Jan 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 26, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In College football
- 59% won · 17 settled · +$247
EthanW is a Kalshi trader with 653 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 44 wins and 110 losses on settled markets, $297 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMARMAD-27-DUKE on Sep 26.
- Win rate
- 29%
- Return on settled
- +25%
- Money traded
- $4.8K
- Typical trade
- $1
- Copy score
- 29/100
- Kalshi rank
- #3,134
Profit over time
+$316-$34
Jan 13Sep 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3857%2%-4 pts
20 to 40¢11929%34%+5 pts
40 to 60¢6448%67%+19 pts
60 to 80¢4572%81%+10 pts
Over 80¢4091%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $116410%-$13
$1 to $116312%-$29
$1 to $316316%-$25
$3 to $1.2K16360%+$364
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Basketball2580%+$100
College basketball10138%+$46
College football3259%+$247
Parlays3552%-$33
NFL4247%-$20
NBA6520%-$54
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied EthanW
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$133
Profit
on $3100 staked
14-17
Record
45% win rate
-4%
Return
15 still open
+$0-$582
Jul 6Sep 14
-$919
Max drawdown
432% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.92×
Profit factor
$1.6K won vs $1.7K lost
+12.6 pts
Edge vs implied
45% won at 33¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 21 trades
By category
other31 settled-4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
13 open positions worth $222
The markets EthanW is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
KXMARMAD-27-DUKE
Sep 26, avg 89¢
Will Duke win the College Basketball National Championship?
Sep 17, 8 fills, avg 12¢
Jaylen Waddle: 60+ receiving yards
Sep 14, avg 49¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$104Will Michigan win the College Basketball National Championship?$59 on Yes, Apr 7
- 2+$71SMU wins$98 on Yes, Sep 7
- 3+$65Colorado wins$30 on Yes, Sep 3
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
KXMARMAD-27-DUKE1+$0
Will Duke win the College Basketball National Championship?130%-$4
Alabama wins2100%+$39
SMU wins4100%+$71
yes Congo DR,yes Portugal,yes Croatia,yes Austria,yes Argentina,yes England2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 29Sep 26
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$7
Feb 2026+$4
Mar 2026+$26
Apr 2026+$88
May 2026-$27
Jun 2026-$59
Sep 2026+$272
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