rivomarkets

fair.steam

-$32.9K
Tracked Trades
1,373
First Seen
May 5, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Followers
7
Best In Tennis
14% won · 351 settled · +$25.1K

fair.steam is a Kalshi trader with 1,373 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 114 wins and 839 losses on settled markets, -$32.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Philadelphia wins on Sep 29.

Win rate
12%
Return on settled
-14%
Money traded
$778.6K
Typical trade
$141
Copy score
7/100
Kalshi rank
#4,379

Profit over time

+$0-$42.7K
May 5Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7287%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢20728%24%-4 pts
40 to 60¢12950%40%-10 pts
60 to 80¢6872%100%+28 pts
Over 80¢24093%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $183435%-$1.1K
$18 to $14134312%-$8.5K
$142 to $47134313%-$12.1K
$472 to $18K34323%-$11.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NBA19719%-$17.0K
Tennis45714%+$25.1K
NFL1454%-$9.9K
Hockey1087%-$10.2K
Soccer1258%-$9.8K
Parlays1192%-$7.4K

Side taken

Yes 70%30% No

If you had copied fair.steam

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$21191
Profit
on $46100 staked
44-417
Record
10% win rate
-46%
Return
23 still open
Profit over time461 settled trades
+$0-$22.8K
Aug 10Sep 28
-$22.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.49×
Profit factor
$20.5K won vs $41.7K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
10% won at 11¢ avg
Longest losing streak
76
Deepest drawdown
457 trades

By category

culture7 settled+233%
sports17 settled-29%
other437 settled-51%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

20 open positions worth $3.8K

The markets fair.steam is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fair.steam is holding

Recent positions

Philadelphia wins
Sep 29, avg 23¢
BUYYES$1.9K-$1.9K
Los Angeles R wins
Sep 28, avg 15¢
BUYYES$331-$331
Denver wins
Sep 28, 7 fills, avg 55¢
SELLNO$14.8KOpen
See every position across 336 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Denver wins
    $1.6K on Yes, Sep 28
    +$14.4K
  2. 2
    Yuliia Starodubtseva wins
    $470 on Yes, Sep 3
    +$11.1K
  3. 3
    Elena Rybakina wins
    $4.6K on Yes, Sep 11
    +$10.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
New York G wins220%-$2.0K
KXNBASERIES-26CLEDETR2-DET130%-$3.5K
KXNBAGAME-26MAY12MINSAS-MIN120%-$3.0K
KXNBAGAME-26MAY15SASMIN-MIN140%-$2.8K
KXATPMATCH-26JUN02MENFON-FON210%-$6.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

May 2026-$21.1K
Jun 2026-$14.4K
Aug 2026+$5.8K
Sep 2026-$3.2K

Similar Kalshi traders

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