rivomarkets

galacticpolarbear

+$1.9K
Tracked Trades
94
First Seen
Jan 27, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Followers
3
Best In Baseball
93% won · 14 settled · +$1.1K

galacticpolarbear is a Kalshi trader with 94 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 28 wins and 10 losses on settled markets, $1.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Philadelphia wins on Sep 29.

Win rate
74%
Return on settled
+21%
Money traded
$19.8K
Typical trade
$46
Copy score
56/100
Kalshi rank
#1,904

Profit over time

+$3.6K+$0
Jan 27Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢106%0%-6 pts
20 to 40¢633%75%+42 pts
40 to 60¢3753%100%+47 pts
60 to 80¢1666%71%+5 pts
Over 80¢2591%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $162483%+$0
$17 to $472475%+$96
$49 to $2392371%+$357
$276 to $1.8K2370%+$1.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
WNBA2353%+$585
Baseball2393%+$1.1K
Tennis5100%+$1.3K
NFL333%-$1.1K
Basketball12+$0
College basketball23100%+$40

Side taken

Yes 83%17% No

If you had copied galacticpolarbear

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$929
Profit
on $3600 staked
26-10
Record
72% win rate
+26%
Return
Profit over time36 settled trades
+$1.0K+$0
Sep 21Sep 28
-$738
Max drawdown
48% below peak
1.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.93×
Profit factor
$1.9K won vs $1.0K lost
+21.8 pts
Edge vs implied
72% won at 50¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
13 trades

By category

other29 settled+28%
sports5 settled-8%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

Philadelphia wins
Sep 29, avg 21¢
BUYYES$711-$711
New Orleans wins
Sep 27, avg 65¢
BUYYES$976-$976
Baltimore wins
Sep 27, avg 63¢
BUYYES$975+$572
See every position across 34 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Emma Kamper wins
    $1.7K on Yes, Sep 24
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    Atlanta wins the game by over 9.5 points
    $1.2K on Yes, Sep 24
    +$1.1K
  3. 3
    Will Milwaukee score over 3.5 runs?
    $765 on Yes, Sep 23
    +$679
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Seattle wins100%-$527
Emma Kamper wins3100%+$1.3K
Atlanta wins the game by over 9.5 points13100%+$1.1K
Will Milwaukee score over 3.5 runs?14100%+$679
Houston wins2100%+$656

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$40
Sep 2026+$1.9K

Similar Kalshi traders

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