guilt.cry
+$665
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Jun 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In Baseball
- 47% won · 58 settled · +$364
guilt.cry is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 77 wins and 84 losses on settled markets, $665 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: D'Andre Swift: 1+ touchdowns on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 48%
- Return on settled
- +13%
- Money traded
- $44.8K
- Typical trade
- $19
- Copy score
- 43/100
- Kalshi rank
- #2,731
Profit over time
+$1.4K-$145
Jun 11Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢16310%6%-4 pts
20 to 40¢21330%24%-6 pts
40 to 60¢29051%51%+0 pts
60 to 80¢16669%93%+24 pts
Over 80¢16890%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $825054%-$15
$8 to $1925023%-$165
$19 to $4825051%+$360
$48 to $1.6K25061%+$484
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays17333%+$141
Baseball36247%+$364
Soccer9645%+$195
NFL8850%+$255
NBA114+$0
Tennis4470%-$63
Side taken
Yes 56%44% No
If you had copied guilt.cry
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1123
Profit
on $12300 staked
64-59
Record
52% win rate
+9%
Return
337 still open
+$1.2K-$356
Jun 29Sep 28
-$2.2K
Max drawdown
113% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.19×
Profit factor
$7.0K won vs $5.9K lost
+3.7 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 48¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 36 trades
By category
other123 settled+9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
207 open positions worth $11.2K
The markets guilt.cry is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
D'Andre Swift: 1+ touchdowns
Sep 29, 13 fills, avg 92¢
D'Andre Swift: 1+ touchdowns
Sep 29, avg 32¢
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 29, avg 92¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$283yes Miami,yes Milwaukee$26 on Yes, Sep 3
- 2+$271Terrance Ferguson: 1+ touchdowns$95 on Yes, Sep 21
- 3+$266Full Game: over 41.5 points scored?$325 on No, Sep 22
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points2+$0
yes Randy Arozarena: 1+,yes Mike Trout: 1+,yes Dustin May: 6+2+$0
Full Game: over 41.5 points scored?967%+$122
Spain vs Argentina Winner?5+$0
yes St. Louis,yes Atlanta,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$293
Jul 2026+$122
Aug 2026-$103
Sep 2026+$353
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