guilty.alpaca3345
-$593
- Tracked Trades
- 996
- First Seen
- May 15, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 27, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In Baseball
- 62% won · 81 settled · +$2.0K
guilty.alpaca3345 is a Kalshi trader with 996 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 72 wins and 107 losses on settled markets, -$593 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Chicago C wins on Sep 27.
- Win rate
- 40%
- Return on settled
- -3%
- Money traded
- $151.9K
- Typical trade
- $125
- Copy score
- 43/100
- Kalshi rank
- #4,039
Profit over time
+$772-$1.7K
May 16Sep 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢14612%14%+2 pts
20 to 40¢17830%8%-22 pts
40 to 60¢43550%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢10770%69%-1 pts
Over 80¢13092%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3824924%-$345
$38 to $12524945%+$80
$125 to $22724945%-$935
$227 to $1.2K24955%+$607
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays59211%-$1.9K
Baseball29562%+$2.0K
NBA32100%+$304
College football4445%-$950
College basketball11100%+$207
NFL160%-$290
Side taken
Yes 80%20% No
If you had copied guilty.alpaca3345
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$154
Profit
on $10200 staked
54-48
Record
53% win rate
-2%
Return
324 still open
+$648-$243
Jun 29Sep 21
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
156% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.97×
Profit factor
$4.6K won vs $4.8K lost
+1.9 pts
Edge vs implied
53% won at 51¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 30 trades
By category
other101 settled-2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
247 open positions worth $41.9K
The markets guilty.alpaca3345 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Chicago C wins
Sep 27, avg 53¢
yes Colorado,yes Los Angeles D,yes Green Bay,yes Jacksonville wins by over 7.5 points,yes Dallas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 13, avg 3¢
yes Boston,yes Over 50.5 points scored
Sep 13, avg 42¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.1KChicago C wins$1.2K on Yes, Sep 27
- 2+$551Toronto vs Boston Winner?$716 on Yes, Jul 24
- 3+$381Los Angeles D vs Los Angeles A Winner?$485 on Yes, May 17
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Boston wins956%+$213
Chicago C wins567%+$997
Toronto vs Boston Winner?8100%+$551
no Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 runs,no Colorado wins by over 2.5 runs2+$0
Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs?1460%-$107
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 30Sep 27
Profit by month
May 2026-$884
Jun 2026+$101
Jul 2026+$448
Aug 2026-$515
Sep 2026+$257
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