rivomarkets

hailstate1991

+$378
Tracked Trades
1,002
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 24, 2026
Followers
3
Best In Tennis
46% won · 612 settled · +$459

hailstate1991 is a Kalshi trader with 1,002 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 295 wins and 378 losses on settled markets, $378 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Sakura Hosogi wins on Sep 24.

Win rate
44%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$21.5K
Typical trade
$9
Copy score
40/100
Kalshi rank
#3,038

Profit over time

+$983-$527
Sep 20Sep 24

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1817%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢26131%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢36648%51%+3 pts
60 to 80¢11868%87%+19 pts
Over 80¢7691%75%-16 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $225147%+$11
$2 to $925139%+$17
$9 to $2425038%-$70
$24 to $1.4K25053%+$421

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis88246%+$459
Parlays485%-$227
Baseball5734%+$193
College football140%-$38
NFL10%-$9

Side taken

Yes 78%22% No

If you had copied hailstate1991

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2139
Profit
on $67300 staked
295-378
Record
44% win rate
+3%
Return
112 still open
Profit over time673 settled trades
+$2.1K-$1.9K
Sep 14Sep 21
-$8.3K
Max drawdown
592% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.06×
Profit factor
$39.9K won vs $37.8K lost
+4.3 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 40¢ avg
Longest losing streak
48
Deepest drawdown
162 trades

By category

other673 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

43 open positions worth $1.3K

The markets hailstate1991 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what hailstate1991 is holding

Recent positions

Sakura Hosogi wins
Sep 24, 4 fills, avg 53¢
BUYYES$73+$66
Nick Beamish wins
Sep 24, 3 fills, avg 92¢
SELLNO$3.1KOpen
Nick Beamish wins
Sep 24, 38 fills, avg 17¢
BUYYES$596-$596
See every position across 226 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins
    $341 on Yes, Sep 24
    +$575
  2. 2
    Mia Horvit wins
    $144 on Yes, Sep 23
    +$212
  3. 3
    Fausto Tabacco wins
    $154 on Yes, Sep 23
    +$192
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Nick Beamish wins410%-$596
Parlay: Evan Engram: 1+ + Pat Bryant: 1+ + Rashee Rice: 1+1+$0
Nagi Hanatani wins100%-$99
Michael Minasyan wins18+$0
Dayeon Back wins150%-$38

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 27Sep 24

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$378

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