human.firefly3951

+$1.2K

Tracked Trades: 155
First Seen: Jun 15, 2026
Last Trade: Sep 28, 2026
Followers: 8
Best In Parlays: 8% won · 24 settled · +$1.2K

human.firefly3951 is a Kalshi trader with 155 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 10 wins and 25 losses on settled markets, $1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 28.

Win rate: 29%
Return on settled: +581%
Money traded: $3.1K
Typical trade: $5
Copy score: 2/100
Kalshi rank: #2,307

Profit over time

+$1.3K-$94

Jun 15Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge

Under 20¢943%4%+1 pts

20 to 40¢531%

40 to 60¢1451%100%+49 pts

60 to 80¢1670%80%+10 pts

Over 80¢2691%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit

$0 to $2390%-$2

$2 to $53946%+$1.4K

$5 to $73938%-$18

$8 to $1.0K388%-$105

Side taken

Yes 94%6% No

If you had copied human.firefly3951

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$27972

Profit

on $2500 staked

2-23

Record

8% win rate

+1119%

Return

73 still open

Profit over time25 settled trades

+$28.0K-$1.2K

Jun 29Sep 28

-$1.6K

Max drawdown

never got above break-even

17.1×

Return / drawdown

profit per $1 of the dip

13.16×

Profit factor

$30.3K won vs $2.3K lost

+3.7 pts

Edge vs implied

8% won at 4¢ avg

Longest losing streak: 15
Deepest drawdown: 18 trades

By category

other25 settled+1119%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

65 open positions worth $390

The markets human.firefly3951 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what human.firefly3951 is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points

Sep 28, avg 75¢

SELLNO$1.0KOpen

yes Japan,yes Uruguay,yes France,yes Tie

Sep 28, avg 56¢

SELLNO$118Open

yes Tulsa,yes Liberty,yes Virginia Tech,yes Texas A&M,yes Tennessee,yes SMU,yes California,yes Louisville,yes Miami (FL),yes Michigan,yes James Madison,yes Kansas,yes Oregon St.,yes Wake Forest,yes Syracuse,yes Kentucky,yes South Alabama,yes Virginia,yes Western Michigan,no Alabama wins by over 7.5 points

Sep 28, avg 0¢

BUYYES$9Open

See every position across 124 markets

Biggest wins

1
yes Japan,yes Uruguay,yes Palestine,yes France,yes Bosnia and Herzegovina,yes Sweden
$5 on Yes, Sep 28
+$1.4K
2
Will Diego Lopes win the Lopes vs Garcia professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?
$8 on Yes, Jun 15
+$5
3
Sweden vs Tunisia Winner?
$8 on Yes, Jun 15
+$4

See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit

yes Congo DR,yes Japan,yes France,yes Sweden,yes Turkiye2+$0

Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?4+$0

yes Japan,yes Uruguay,yes France,yes Tie2+$0

yes Argentina advances,yes Egypt advances,yes Ghana advances2+$0

When they trade

Sun

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$7

Jul 2026-$7

Aug 2026+$3

Sep 2026+$1.2K

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