rivomarkets
Kalshi

johnw8469

+$439
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 24, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 27, 2026
Best In Baseball
79% won · 19 settled · +$462

johnw8469 is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 101 wins and 29 losses on settled markets, $439 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes San Francisco,yes Baltimore,yes New Orleans,yes Jacoby Brissett: 150+,yes Brock Purdy: 175+,yes Lamar Jackson: 150+,yes Dak Prescott: 175+ on Sep 27.

Win rate
78%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$90.7K
Typical trade
$42
Copy score
71/100
Kalshi rank
#2,962

Profit over time

+$832-$568
Oct 12Sep 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1466%25%+19 pts
20 to 40¢4830%0%-30 pts
40 to 60¢15951%64%+12 pts
60 to 80¢36970%86%+16 pts
Over 80¢27887%93%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1425096%+$108
$14 to $4225084%+$148
$42 to $11225067%-$170
$112 to $1.4K25076%+$353

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis28588%+$261
Parlays16344%-$43
College football11395%+$297
College basketball12370%-$551
Soccer12283%-$68
Baseball8879%+$462

Side taken

Yes 68%32% No

If you had copied johnw8469

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2053
Profit
on $6300 staked
52-11
Record
83% win rate
+33%
Return
57 still open
Profit over time63 settled trades
+$2.1K+$0
Jun 29Sep 21
-$338
Max drawdown
56% below peak
6.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.87×
Profit factor
$3.2K won vs $1.1K lost
+20.7 pts
Edge vs implied
83% won at 62¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
5 trades

By category

other63 settled+33%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

55 open positions worth $5.6K

The markets johnw8469 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what johnw8469 is holding

Recent positions

yes San Francisco,yes Baltimore,yes New Orleans,yes Jacoby Brissett: 150+,yes Brock Purdy: 175+,yes Lamar Jackson: 150+,yes Dak Prescott: 175+
Sep 27, avg 17¢
BUYYES$65-$65
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 27, avg 93¢
SELLNO$1.0KOpen
yes Carolina,yes Kansas City,yes Buffalo,yes Detroit,yes Seattle,yes Patrick Mahomes: 150+
Sep 27, avg 18¢
BUYYES$196-$196
See every position across 463 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Atlanta at San Francisco Winner?
    $705 on Yes, Oct 20
    +$302
  2. 2
    yes Buffalo,yes Josh Allen: 225+
    $201 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$242
  3. 3
    yes Philadelphia,yes Cleveland
    $153 on Yes, Sep 23
    +$179
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Karolina Muchova win the Bencic vs Muchova match?29+$0
Will Karen Khachanov win the Khachanov vs Griekspoor match?10+$0
Kennesaw St. at Florida International Winner?13+$0
Will Alexandra Eala win the Eala vs Liu match?9+$0
Will Jaume Munar win the Bertola vs Munar match?8+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 30Sep 27

Profit by month

Oct 2025+$404
Nov 2025-$19
Dec 2025+$5
Feb 2026-$115
Mar 2026-$546
May 2026-$261
Jun 2026+$124
Aug 2026+$49
Sep 2026+$798

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