rivomarkets
Kalshi

known.craft

-$125
Tracked Trades
335
First Seen
Mar 4, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Followers
1

known.craft is a Kalshi trader with 335 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 14 wins and 49 losses on settled markets, -$125 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Montenegro,yes France,yes Hungary,yes Bosnia and Herzegovina,yes Turkiye on Sep 28.

Win rate
22%
Return on settled
-3%
Money traded
$27.3K
Typical trade
$46
Copy score
4/100
Kalshi rank
#3,821

Profit over time

+$1.0K-$125
Mar 7Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1908%4%-4 pts
20 to 40¢8428%22%-6 pts
40 to 60¢3947%67%+20 pts
60 to 80¢1172%100%+28 pts
Over 80¢895%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $18830%-$163
$18 to $468327%-$13
$46 to $948333%-$51
$94 to $1.9K8330%+$102

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays1290%-$311
Soccer11271%+$599
NBA7917%-$310
Bitcoin3+$0
MMA10%-$95
College basketball60%-$56

Side taken

Yes 84%16% No

If you had copied known.craft

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$56
Profit
on $500 staked
1-4
Record
20% win rate
+11%
Return
67 still open
Profit over time5 settled trades
+$456+$0
Jun 29Sep 28

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

52 open positions worth $5.2K

The markets known.craft is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what known.craft is holding

Recent positions

yes Montenegro,yes France,yes Hungary,yes Bosnia and Herzegovina,yes Turkiye
Sep 28, avg 1¢
BUYYES$47-$47
no Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 goals scored
Sep 27, avg 5¢
BUYYES$125-$125
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 27, avg 93¢
SELLNO$1.9KOpen
See every position across 222 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Phoenix at Los Angeles L Winner?
    $481 on Yes, Apr 10
    +$588
  2. 2
    Denver at Los Angeles L Winner?
    $385 on Yes, Mar 15
    +$435
  3. 3
    Game 2: Houston at Los Angeles L Winner?
    $192 on Yes, Apr 22
    +$255
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Over 2.5 1H goals scored?14+$0
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
Dallas at Phoenix Winner?80%-$222
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?4+$0
Mexico vs England Winner?5+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Mar 2026+$841
Apr 2026-$267
May 2026-$505
Jun 2026-$95
Jul 2026+$120
Sep 2026-$218

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