rivomarkets
Kalshi

Lucas.17

lucas.17

+$2.9K
Tracked Trades
489
First Seen
Jun 12, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 26, 2026
Followers
7
Best In Soccer
54% won · 131 settled · +$3.9K

Lucas.17 is a Kalshi trader with 489 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 73 wins and 95 losses on settled markets, $2.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Austria,yes Denmark,yes Germany,yes Netherlands,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored on Sep 26.

Win rate
43%
Return on settled
+21%
Money traded
$36.2K
Typical trade
$11
Copy score
37/100
Kalshi rank
#1,499

Profit over time

+$3.9K-$140
Jun 12Sep 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1357%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢11230%25%-5 pts
40 to 60¢8348%55%+7 pts
60 to 80¢6371%53%-18 pts
Over 80¢9690%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $612341%-$7
$6 to $1112226%-$202
$12 to $5912238%-$334
$60 to $1.7K12262%+$3.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer31754%+$3.9K
Parlays1370%-$964
Baseball120%-$10
Entertainment90%-$9
MMA5+$0
NFL450%-$22

Side taken

Yes 78%22% No

If you had copied Lucas.17

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$3635
Profit
on $16000 staked
71-89
Record
44% win rate
-23%
Return
151 still open
Profit over time160 settled trades
+$64-$3.6K
Jun 29Sep 21
-$3.8K
Max drawdown
2911% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.59×
Profit factor
$5.3K won vs $8.9K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 45¢ avg
Longest losing streak
19
Deepest drawdown
140 trades

By category

other155 settled-25%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

117 open positions worth $7.8K

The markets Lucas.17 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Lucas.17 is holding

Recent positions

yes Austria,yes Denmark,yes Germany,yes Netherlands,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Sep 26, avg 16¢
BUYYES$83-$83
yes Sebastian Baez,yes Moise Kouame,yes Isaac Becroft,yes Tie
Sep 26, avg 93¢
SELLNO$1.2KOpen
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Albania,yes Croatia,yes Switzerland,yes Slovakia,yes Austria,yes Denmark,yes Germany,yes Netherlands,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Sep 26, avg 2¢
BUYYES$28-$28
See every position across 256 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXUCLWGAME-26AUG25BRAFAK-BRA
    $1.7K on Yes, Aug 25
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    Real Sociedad wins
    $1.0K on Yes, Sep 7
    +$757
  3. 3
    Roma vs Fiorentina Winner?
    $971 on Yes, Aug 24
    +$732
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Winner?6+$0
Real Sociedad wins14100%+$757
yes Sebastian Baez,yes Moise Kouame,yes Isaac Becroft,yes Tie2+$0
Al Ahly (EGY) vs Enppi Winner?27100%+$433
KXUCLWGAME-26AUG25BRAFAK-BRA1100%+$1.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 29Sep 26

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$47
Jul 2026-$89
Aug 2026+$3.2K
Sep 2026-$185

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