mance
+$13.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,001
- First Seen
- Feb 22, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 28, 2026
- Followers
- 6
- Best In College basketball
- 48% won · 86 settled · +$5.6K
mance is a Kalshi trader with 1,001 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 184 wins and 260 losses on settled markets, $13.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: San Francisco vs Los Angeles Pro Football game: LA Chargers wins? on Sep 28.
- Win rate
- 41%
- Return on settled
- +16%
- Money traded
- $181.5K
- Typical trade
- $99
- Copy score
- 43/100
- Kalshi rank
- #333
Profit over time
+$13.1K-$1.8K
Feb 22Sep 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢20210%12%+3 pts
20 to 40¢37930%37%+7 pts
40 to 60¢40146%56%+10 pts
60 to 80¢567%50%-17 pts
Over 80¢1493%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3425150%+$11
$34 to $9925031%+$713
$99 to $28525038%+$425
$285 to $2.1K25049%+$11.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College basketball24748%+$5.6K
Parlays14720%+$199
NBA18844%+$1.1K
College football6644%+$5.2K
Baseball10263%+$1.1K
NFL3142%+$4.0K
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied mance
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$5362
Profit
on $13900 staked
71-68
Record
51% win rate
+39%
Return
66 still open
+$5.4K-$1.6K
Jun 29Sep 28
-$3.4K
Max drawdown
189% below peak
1.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.79×
Profit factor
$12.2K won vs $6.8K lost
+12.9 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 38¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 23
- Deepest drawdown
- 36 trades
By category
sports6 settled+96%
other133 settled+36%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
45 open positions worth $10.7K
The markets mance is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
San Francisco vs Los Angeles Pro Football game: LA Chargers wins?
Sep 28, avg 45¢
DEN Broncos wins by over 1.5 points?
Sep 27, avg 48¢
SF 49ers wins by over 17.5 points?
Sep 27, 5 fills, avg 4¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.1KGame 5: Cleveland at Detroit Winner?$1.1K on Yes, May 14
- 2+$2.1KDEN Broncos wins by over 1.5 points?$1.9K on Yes, Sep 27
- 3+$1.9KIowa wins$956 on Yes, Sep 26
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Cleveland wins3497%+$2.6K
Netherlands vs Japan Winner?30%-$476
yes Kentucky,no Texas Tech wins by over 14.5 Points1+$0
DEN Broncos wins by over 1.5 points?1100%+$2.1K
Will Montana be the Big Sky tournament champions?17+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 1Sep 28
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$416
Mar 2026+$3.1K
Apr 2026-$3.4K
May 2026+$2.4K
Jun 2026+$799
Jul 2026-$473
Aug 2026+$3.7K
Sep 2026+$7.4K
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