michaelj
+$1.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,007
- First Seen
- Aug 23, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In Soccer
- 61% won · 425 settled · +$836
michaelj is a Kalshi trader with 1,007 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 276 wins and 191 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Chicago wins on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 59%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $34.5K
- Typical trade
- $3
- Copy score
- 55/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,959
Profit over time
+$1.8K-$48
Aug 23Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6784%10%+6 pts
20 to 40¢427%0%-27 pts
40 to 60¢347%0%-47 pts
60 to 80¢572%100%+28 pts
Over 80¢31695%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125223%-$5
$1 to $325235%+$31
$3 to $1225158%+$126
$12 to $1.5K25191%+$1.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer83861%+$836
NFL4100%+$975
Golf10460%+$52
Commodities300%-$5
Baseball1715%-$2
Economic data7+$0
Side taken
Yes 56%44% No
If you had copied michaelj
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$6698
Profit
on $46700 staked
276-191
Record
59% win rate
+14%
Return
89 still open
+$6.7K-$15.4K
Aug 17Sep 28
-$17.3K
Max drawdown
229453% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.35×
Profit factor
$25.8K won vs $19.1K lost
+5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
59% won at 54¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 24
- Deepest drawdown
- 434 trades
By category
other464 settled+14%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
36 open positions worth $5.6K
The markets michaelj is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Chicago wins
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 88¢
Honduras wins
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 87¢
Chicago wins
Sep 29, avg 33¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$975Denver wins$1.5K on Yes, Sep 28
- 2+$661Tie is the result$57 on No, Sep 28
- 3+$203Honduras wins$1.3K on Yes, Sep 29
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Tie is the result24081%+$670
Chicago wins1138%-$5
Denver wins1100%+$975
Honduras wins2100%+$203
Will Neal Shipley win the Biltmore Championship Asheville?9+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$23
Sep 2026+$1.8K
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies michaelj.
Bring michaelj into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.