mjsafley
+$681
- Tracked Trades
- 517
- First Seen
- Jul 12, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 25, 2026
- Followers
- 4
- Best In Commodities
- 29% won · 182 settled · +$629
mjsafley is a Kalshi trader with 517 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 70 wins and 187 losses on settled markets, $681 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 25.
- Win rate
- 27%
- Return on settled
- +36%
- Money traded
- $9.7K
- Typical trade
- $4
- Copy score
- 22/100
- Kalshi rank
- #2,716
Profit over time
+$1.2K-$39
Aug 18Sep 25
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2347%15%+9 pts
20 to 40¢10028%49%+21 pts
40 to 60¢5948%25%-23 pts
60 to 80¢6268%50%-18 pts
Over 80¢6290%83%-6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $113019%+$58
$1 to $412928%+$710
$4 to $1212934%+$169
$12 to $1.4K12930%-$256
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities29129%+$629
Bitcoin10413%+$23
Entertainment30%-$5
Weather280%-$28
Other crypto2889%+$72
Mentions13+$0
Side taken
Yes 50%50% No
If you had copied mjsafley
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$61565
Profit
on $25700 staked
70-187
Record
27% win rate
+240%
Return
127 still open
+$61.6K-$624
Jul 6Sep 21
-$6.8K
Max drawdown
10% below peak
9.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.29×
Profit factor
$80.3K won vs $18.7K lost
+8.0 pts
Edge vs implied
27% won at 19¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 52
- Deepest drawdown
- 78 trades
By category
other257 settled+240%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
52 open positions worth $948
The markets mjsafley is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 25, avg 92¢
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 25, 7 fills, avg 1¢
Copper price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 25, 12 fills, avg 4¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$503Silver price up in next 15 mins?$57 on Yes, Sep 24
- 2+$356Bitcoin price on Sep 22, 2026?$9 on Yes, Sep 22
- 3+$231Silver price up in next 15 mins?$47 on Yes, Sep 25
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?5513%-$4
Silver price up in next 15 mins?9225%+$530
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Rotten Tomatoes score?2+$0
Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?330%-$108
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?110%-$73
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 28Sep 25
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$16
Sep 2026+$697
Similar Kalshi traders
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