rivomarkets
Kalshi

Neph44

neph44

+$1.5K
Tracked Trades
839
First Seen
Aug 15, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Followers
12
Best In Baseball
44% won · 18 settled · +$1.3K

Neph44 is a Kalshi trader with 839 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 152 wins and 358 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 29.

Win rate
30%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$56.1K
Typical trade
$12
Copy score
26/100
Kalshi rank
#2,123

Profit over time

+$4.0K-$781
Aug 22Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢21911%5%-6 pts
20 to 40¢19831%29%-2 pts
40 to 60¢20448%53%+6 pts
60 to 80¢10866%48%-18 pts
Over 80¢11093%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $321012%-$85
$3 to $1221034%-$114
$12 to $7721040%+$1.5K
$77 to $5.0K20942%+$240

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis50437%+$704
Parlays426%-$447
Baseball2844%+$1.3K
NFL5816%+$36
College football2317%-$367
Bitcoin11322%-$133

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied Neph44

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$9085
Profit
on $51000 staked
152-358
Record
30% win rate
-18%
Return
76 still open
Profit over time510 settled trades
+$0-$9.1K
Aug 10Sep 28
-$10.5K
Max drawdown
765% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.75×
Profit factor
$26.7K won vs $35.8K lost
-2.5 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 32¢ avg
Longest losing streak
59
Deepest drawdown
311 trades

By category

other510 settled-18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

44 open positions worth $2.6K

The markets Neph44 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Neph44 is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 29, avg 90¢
SELLNO$2.5KOpen
yes Jordan Chiu,yes Nick Beamish,yes Nagi Hanatani,yes Naomi McKenzie,yes Yu Shan,yes I Wen Wan,yes Chicago
Sep 29, avg 2¢
BUYYES$47Open
CHI Bears wins 1H by over 13.5 points?
Sep 29, avg 34¢
BUYYES$94-$94
See every position across 210 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Miami wins
    $264 on Yes, Sep 23
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    Will Atlanta win the 1st Half?
    $94 on Yes, Sep 25
    +$691
  3. 3
    Darwin Blanch wins
    $372 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$667
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Hunter Heck wins12100%+$58
Nick Beamish wins220%-$375
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
Darwin Blanch wins27100%+$934
Miami wins2615%+$1.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$163
Sep 2026+$1.7K

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