rivomarkets

nervous.ibis3991

+$5.8K
Tracked Trades
214
First Seen
Aug 8, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Best In Parlays
58% won · 43 settled · +$3.8K

nervous.ibis3991 is a Kalshi trader with 214 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 64 wins and 78 losses on settled markets, $5.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored on Sep 28.

Win rate
45%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$63.9K
Typical trade
$128
Copy score
37/100
Kalshi rank
#837

Profit over time

+$5.3K-$1.9K
Aug 19Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1210%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢3531%13%-18 pts
40 to 60¢15050%47%-3 pts
60 to 80¢1465%50%-15 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $95539%-$567
$95 to $1285352%+$200
$135 to $4825342%-$3.9K
$482 to $2.9K5269%+$9.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays9158%+$3.8K
NFL2364%+$3.6K
College football6226%-$1.9K
MMA2044%-$434
Baseball1553%+$219

Side taken

Yes 70%30% No

If you had copied nervous.ibis3991

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2072
Profit
on $14100 staked
63-78
Record
45% win rate
-15%
Return
57 still open
Profit over time141 settled trades
+$0-$2.9K
Aug 3Sep 28
-$3.5K
Max drawdown
1001% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.73×
Profit factor
$5.7K won vs $7.8K lost
-4.9 pts
Edge vs implied
45% won at 50¢ avg
Longest losing streak
23
Deepest drawdown
85 trades

By category

sports15 settled+9%
other125 settled-18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

49 open positions worth $14.7K

The markets nervous.ibis3991 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what nervous.ibis3991 is holding

Recent positions

yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Sep 28, avg 55¢
BUYYES$679Open
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored
Sep 28, avg 54¢
BUYYES$613Open
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Sep 28, avg 54¢
BUYYES$600+$522
See every position across 156 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Detroit wins by over 7.5 points?
    $2.9K on No, Sep 13
    +$2.4K
  2. 2
    Dallas wins by over 4.5 points?
    $1.5K on No, Sep 13
    +$1.1K
  3. 3
    SMU wins by over 4.5 points
    $1.5K on No, Sep 7
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored4100%+$3.1K
Detroit wins by over 7.5 points?1100%+$2.4K
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored333%-$1.4K
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points?20%-$1.7K
SMU wins by over 4.5 points1100%+$1.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$391
Sep 2026+$5.7K

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