rivomarkets
Kalshi

organic.moth4350

+$2.4K
Tracked Trades
521
First Seen
Jun 15, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Followers
47

organic.moth4350 is a Kalshi trader with 521 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 4 wins and 66 losses on settled markets, $2.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Francisco Cabral / James Tracy,yes Arthur Fils,yes Arthur Gea,yes Pablo Carreno Busta,yes Jaume Munar,yes Alex Molcan,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Jaime Faria,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp,yes Harriet Dart,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Katarzyna Kawa,yes Zhuoxuan Bai on Sep 28.

Win rate
6%
Return on settled
+79%
Money traded
$87.2K
Typical trade
$18
Copy score
0/100
Kalshi rank
#1,663

Profit over time

+$3.1K-$136
Jun 15Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3644%2%-2 pts
20 to 40¢4829%50%+21 pts
40 to 60¢2451%100%+49 pts
60 to 80¢1670%50%-20 pts
Over 80¢6595%0%-95 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $91300%-$82
$9 to $181290%-$213
$18 to $471297%-$577
$47 to $18K12950%+$3.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays3160%-$674
Baseball5833%+$3.2K
Soccer10415%-$24
Golf16+$0
MMA1525%+$5
Tennis5+$0

Side taken

Yes 84%16% No

If you had copied organic.moth4350

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$4337
Profit
on $4600 staked
1-45
Record
2% win rate
-94%
Return
244 still open
Profit over time46 settled trades
+$0-$4.3K
Jul 6Sep 28
-$4.3K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.04×
Profit factor
$163 won vs $4.5K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
2% won at 3¢ avg
Longest losing streak
41
Deepest drawdown
46 trades

By category

sports46 settled-94%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

192 open positions worth $13.8K

The markets organic.moth4350 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what organic.moth4350 is holding

Recent positions

yes Francisco Cabral / James Tracy,yes Arthur Fils,yes Arthur Gea,yes Pablo Carreno Busta,yes Jaume Munar,yes Alex Molcan,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Jaime Faria,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp,yes Harriet Dart,yes Elsa Jacquemot,yes Katarzyna Kawa,yes Zhuoxuan Bai
Sep 28, avg 0¢
BUYYES$9-$9
yes Francisco Cabral / James Tracy,yes Yannick Hanfmann,yes Andrey Rublev,yes Miomir Kecmanovic,yes Martin Landaluce,yes Alex Molcan,yes James Duckworth,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp,yes Pablo Carreno Busta,yes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina,yes Daniel Altmaier,yes Hubert Hurkacz,yes Daniil Medvedev
Sep 28, avg 0¢
BUYYES$9-$9
yes Chase Brown: 1+,yes David Montgomery: 1+,yes Quinshon Judkins: 1+,yes Bucky Irving: 1+,yes Ashton Jeanty: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Lamar Jackson: 1+
Sep 19, avg 1¢
BUYYES$9-$9
See every position across 342 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner?
    $2.0K on Yes, Aug 2
    +$3.2K
  2. 2
    Spain vs Cape Verde Winner?
    $47 on Yes, Jun 15
    +$231
  3. 3
    Will Ciryl Gane win the Pereira vs Gane professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?
    $39 on Yes, Jun 15
    +$39
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Los Angeles A,yes Cincinnati,yes New York M,yes Milwaukee,yes Toronto,yes Seattle,yes Philadelphia,yes Boston,yes Atlanta,yes Kansas City,yes Arizona2+$0
Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner?5+$0
yes Toronto,yes Tampa Bay,yes Miami,yes Minnesota2+$0
Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner?1450%+$3.2K
yes Baltimore,yes Cleveland,yes Philadelphia,yes Boston,yes Atlanta,no Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs,no Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$65
Jul 2026-$18
Aug 2026+$2.8K
Sep 2026-$264

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