probable.aardwolf4173
+$392
- Tracked Trades
- 383
- First Seen
- Jun 26, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 27, 2026
- Followers
- 7
- Best In Soccer
- 50% won · 14 settled · +$3.4K
probable.aardwolf4173 is a Kalshi trader with 383 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 21 wins and 78 losses on settled markets, $392 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 27.
- Win rate
- 21%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $57.1K
- Typical trade
- $26
- Copy score
- 12/100
- Kalshi rank
- #3,019
Profit over time
+$936-$2.4K
Jun 26Sep 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢859%3%-5 pts
20 to 40¢10831%3%-27 pts
40 to 60¢5647%9%-38 pts
60 to 80¢5870%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢7690%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $59615%-$47
$5 to $269613%-$231
$26 to $1219622%-$96
$124 to $2.0K9544%+$766
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin31616%-$3.0K
Soccer6750%+$3.4K
Side taken
Yes 55%45% No
If you had copied probable.aardwolf4173
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$5576
Profit
on $8800 staked
16-72
Record
18% win rate
-63%
Return
85 still open
+$507-$5.6K
Jun 29Sep 21
-$6.9K
Max drawdown
945% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.23×
Profit factor
$1.6K won vs $7.2K lost
-17.2 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 67
- Deepest drawdown
- 73 trades
By category
other85 settled-71%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
21 open positions worth $7.5K
The markets probable.aardwolf4173 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 27, 2 fills, avg 94¢
KXBTCD-26SEP2702-T84599.99
Sep 27, 7 fills, avg 82¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 27, avg 70¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.6KSpain wins$642 on Yes, Sep 26
- 2+$693Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?$94 on Yes, Jul 3
- 3+$493Uruguay vs Spain Winner?$729 on Yes, Jun 26
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?9416%-$2.0K
Bitcoin price on Jul 3, 2026?7660%-$153
Bitcoin price on Jul 2, 2026?73+$0
KXBTCD-26SEP2702-T84599.997+$0
Spain wins2100%+$2.6K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 30Sep 27
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$244
Jul 2026+$472
Sep 2026-$323
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