rain.child
+$484
- Tracked Trades
- 940
- First Seen
- Sep 1, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 24, 2026
- Followers
- 32
- Best In Bitcoin
- 41% won · 695 settled · +$484
rain.child is a Kalshi trader with 940 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 282 wins and 413 losses on settled markets, $484 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 24.
- Win rate
- 41%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $68.9K
- Typical trade
- $8
- Copy score
- 37/100
- Kalshi rank
- #2,918
Profit over time
+$2.3K-$1.9K
Sep 1Sep 24
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2029%10%+1 pts
20 to 40¢28630%20%-11 pts
40 to 60¢23749%60%+11 pts
60 to 80¢8968%81%+13 pts
Over 80¢12695%73%-22 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $123535%-$1
$1 to $823540%+$53
$8 to $4723536%-$664
$47 to $2.0K23552%+$1.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin94041%+$484
Side taken
Yes 47%53% No
If you had copied rain.child
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$3249
Profit
on $69500 staked
282-413
Record
41% win rate
+5%
Return
45 still open
+$12.3K-$100
Aug 31Sep 21
-$13.2K
Max drawdown
95% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$44.5K won vs $41.3K lost
-0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 41¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 44
- Deepest drawdown
- 310 trades
By category
other684 settled+5%
crypto11 settled-45%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
8 open positions worth $5.5K
The markets rain.child is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 24, avg 56¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 24, avg 79¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 24, avg 46¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.6KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.7K on No, Sep 23
- 2+$1.5KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$379 on No, Sep 22
- 3+$1.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.6K on Yes, Sep 23
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?94041%+$484
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 27Sep 24
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$484
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