round.thing
+$1.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 594
- First Seen
- Jan 23, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 25, 2026
- Followers
- 7
- Best In MMA
- 34% won · 29 settled · +$695
round.thing is a Kalshi trader with 594 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 38 wins and 53 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Over 33.5 points scored on Sep 25.
- Win rate
- 42%
- Return on settled
- +43%
- Money traded
- $15.0K
- Typical trade
- $5
- Copy score
- 28/100
- Kalshi rank
- #2,294
Profit over time
+$1.5K-$237
Jan 23Sep 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1706%5%-1 pts
20 to 40¢11930%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢13149%58%+9 pts
60 to 80¢8469%78%+8 pts
Over 80¢9090%50%-40 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $214911%-$7
$2 to $514936%-$6
$5 to $1914833%-$149
$19 to $1.4K14856%+$1.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL3854%-$78
Soccer14325%-$70
Parlays4950%+$117
College football1444%+$552
College basketball10418%-$135
MMA13734%+$695
Side taken
Yes 64%36% No
If you had copied round.thing
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$472
Profit
on $2700 staked
12-15
Record
44% win rate
+17%
Return
14 still open
+$488-$200
Jul 6Sep 21
-$515
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.31×
Profit factor
$2.0K won vs $1.5K lost
+13.2 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 31¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 5
- Deepest drawdown
- 9 trades
By category
other27 settled+17%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
14 open positions worth $722
The markets round.thing is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Over 33.5 points scored
Sep 25, avg 81¢
Dallas wins
Sep 22, avg 24¢
Will Kansas City win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
Sep 22, avg 93¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$737Colorado wins$339 on Yes, Sep 4
- 2+$713Will Justin Gaethje win the Topuria vs Gaethje professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?$198 on Yes, Jun 15
- 3+$203Will the fight go the distance?$95 on Yes, May 9
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will Kansas City win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?3+$0
Siena at Duke Winner?60%-$73
Over 33.5 points scored1+$0
Los Angeles R wins by over 23.5 points?40%-$291
yes Spain advances,yes England advances,yes Lionel Messi: 1+2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 28Sep 25
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$29
Feb 2026-$41
Mar 2026-$148
Apr 2026-$18
May 2026+$205
Jun 2026+$745
Jul 2026-$9
Aug 2026-$15
Sep 2026+$579
Similar Kalshi traders
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