rivomarkets
Kalshi

Sam.novotny

sam.novotny

-$936
Tracked Trades
210
First Seen
Mar 17, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 23, 2026
Followers
4

Sam.novotny is a Kalshi trader with 210 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 3 wins and 28 losses on settled markets, -$936 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 23.

Win rate
10%
Return on settled
-53%
Money traded
$18.6K
Typical trade
$10
Copy score
3/100
Kalshi rank
#4,115

Profit over time

+$0-$1.3K
Apr 4Sep 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1883%5%+2 pts
20 to 40¢829%0%-29 pts
40 to 60¢657%17%-40 pts
60 to 80¢262%50%-12 pts
Over 80¢693%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9530%-$40
$9 to $105311%+$249
$10 to $19520%-$88
$19 to $9.2K5225%-$1.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays18910%-$742
College football130%-$298
Tennis350%+$104
Soccer4+$0
Golf1+$0

Side taken

Yes 95%5% No

If you had copied Sam.novotny

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$937
Profit
on $3000 staked
3-27
Record
10% win rate
+31%
Return
115 still open
Profit over time30 settled trades
+$937-$1.9K
Jun 29Sep 21
-$2.5K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.35×
Profit factor
$3.6K won vs $2.7K lost
-10.0 pts
Edge vs implied
10% won at 20¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
29 trades

By category

other30 settled+31%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

109 open positions worth $1.9K

The markets Sam.novotny is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Sam.novotny is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 23, avg 87¢
SELLNO$4.0KOpen
yes Federico Agustin Gomez,yes Dalibor Svrcina,yes Arizona,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,yes Chicago,yes Washington wins by over 9.5 points,yes Golden State wins by over 9.5 points,yes Lanlana Tararudee
Sep 22, 2 fills, avg 0¢
BUYYES$20Open
yes Carlo Alberto Caniato,yes Juan Pablo Varillas,yes Facundo Mena,yes Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo,yes Taro Daniel,yes Shintaro Mochizuki,yes Dalibor Svrcina,yes Bernard Tomic,yes Federico Cina,yes Alessio Basile,yes Edouard Villoslada,yes Deney Wassermann,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,yes Anna Bondar,yes Taylah Preston,yes Oleksandra Oliynykova,yes Alycia Parks
Sep 22, avg 0¢
SELLNO$2Open
See every position across 177 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Carlo Alberto Caniato,yes Juan Pablo Varillas,yes Facundo Mena,yes Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo,yes Taro Daniel,yes Shintaro Mochizuki,yes Dalibor Svrcina,yes Bernard Tomic,yes Federico Cina,yes Alessio Basile,yes Edouard Villoslada,yes Deney Wassermann,no Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning,yes Anna Bondar,yes Taylah Preston,yes Oleksandra Oliynykova,yes Alycia Parks
    $9 on Yes, Sep 22
    +$324
  2. 2
    yes Ole Miss,yes Notre Dame
    $195 on Yes, Sep 7
    +$111
  3. 3
    Botic Van de Zandschulp wins
    $96 on Yes, Sep 8
    +$105
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points2+$0
yes Illinois,yes Arizona10%-$951
Ole Miss wins by over 13.5 points100%-$229
yes Mariano Navone,yes Rafael Jodar,yes Seattle,yes Detroit,yes Arizona,yes Jessica Pegula1+$0
yes Ole Miss,yes Notre Dame2100%+$111

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 26Sep 23

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$951
Sep 2026+$15

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