rivomarkets

sir.wake

+$168
Tracked Trades
264
First Seen
Jul 21, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Best In XRP
100% won · 28 settled · +$306

sir.wake is a Kalshi trader with 264 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 70 wins and 31 losses on settled markets, $168 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: no Target Price: $83,469.47,no Target Price: $0.0943440,no Target Price: $2,658.62,no Target Price: $1.4968 on Sep 28.

Win rate
69%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$20.6K
Typical trade
$19
Copy score
60/100
Kalshi rank
#3,281

Profit over time

+$1.4K-$321
Sep 26Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢284%0%-4 pts
20 to 40¢1235%33%-2 pts
40 to 60¢7253%50%-3 pts
60 to 80¢10470%80%+10 pts
Over 80¢4887%100%+13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $46639%-$13
$4 to $196687%+$33
$19 to $796679%+$207
$79 to $1.4K6665%-$59

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays3952%-$219
Soccer32100%+$748
Bitcoin5545%-$96
Baseball50+$0
NFL40%-$764
WNBA35+$0

Side taken

Yes 69%31% No

If you had copied sir.wake

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$136
Profit
on $10100 staked
70-31
Record
69% win rate
+1%
Return
116 still open
Profit over time101 settled trades
+$483+$0
Jul 20Sep 28
-$739
Max drawdown
84% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.04×
Profit factor
$3.2K won vs $3.1K lost
+6.2 pts
Edge vs implied
69% won at 63¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
39 trades

By category

other101 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

35 open positions worth $4.9K

The markets sir.wake is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what sir.wake is holding

Recent positions

no Target Price: $83,469.47,no Target Price: $0.0943440,no Target Price: $2,658.62,no Target Price: $1.4968
Sep 28, 2 fills, avg 55¢
BUYYES$526-$526
no Target Price: $772.53,no Target Price: $83,469.47,no Target Price: $0.0943440,no Target Price: $2,658.62,no Target Price: $90.1494,no Target Price: $5.2367,no Target Price: $119.9778,no Target Price: $1.4968,no Target Price: $1,567.4876
Sep 28, avg 46¢
BUYYES$193-$193
yes Target Price: $83,410.26,yes Target Price: $0.0939325,yes Target Price: $2,654.58,yes Target Price: $1.4931
Sep 28, avg 0¢
SELLNO$2Open
See every position across 73 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Portugal wins
    $866 on Yes, Sep 27
    +$636
  2. 2
    no Target Price: $83,457.59,no Target price: TBD,no Target Price: $2,653.99,no Target Price: $1.4970
    $241 on Yes, Sep 28
    +$298
  3. 3
    XRP price up in next 15 mins?
    $952 on Yes, Sep 27
    +$262
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Los Angeles R wins30%-$761
Portugal wins6100%+$636
yes CD Recoleta,yes Talleres Cordoba,yes Washington,yes New York Y,yes Milwaukee,yes Los Angeles D,yes Texas,yes Houston,yes Tampa Bay,yes New York2+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?4045%-$96
Bitcoin price on Jul 31, 2026?12+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$168

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