smart.stroke
+$8.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 854
- First Seen
- Feb 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Followers
- 4
- Best In Commodities
- 100% won · 18 settled · +$3.6K
smart.stroke is a Kalshi trader with 854 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 527 wins and 42 losses on settled markets, $8.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Chicago wins on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 93%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $297.5K
- Typical trade
- $22
- Copy score
- 91/100
- Kalshi rank
- #615
Profit over time
+$7.1K-$3.9K
Feb 14Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1924%0%-4 pts
20 to 40¢1628%75%+47 pts
40 to 60¢1853%25%-28 pts
60 to 80¢4971%95%+24 pts
Over 80¢53096%97%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $520294%-$3
$5 to $2220185%-$113
$22 to $37020195%+$726
$375 to $9.4K20192%+$2.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin55096%+$646
Parlays22128%+$2.2K
NFL1+$0
Commodities9100%+$8
Ethereum4100%+$85
Golf40%-$97
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied smart.stroke
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$278
Profit
on $52400 staked
487-37
Record
93% win rate
+1%
Return
142 still open
+$278-$1.6K
Jul 6Sep 28
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$4.0K won vs $3.7K lost
+2.5 pts
Edge vs implied
93% won at 90¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 12
- Deepest drawdown
- 85 trades
By category
other391 settled+1%
crypto131 settled-2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
96 open positions worth $40.5K
The markets smart.stroke is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Chicago wins
Sep 29, avg 99¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 29, avg 99¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 29, avg 99¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.5Kno Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,yes FURIA Esports,yes LYON,yes UTSA,yes Ohio St.,yes Texas Tech,yes UNLV,yes Virginia Tech,yes Finland,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 7.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored$475 on Yes, Sep 26
- 2+$1.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$5.1K on Yes, Sep 27
- 3+$1.2KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$2.6K on Yes, Sep 28
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?54096%+$324
yes Cali,no Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Leon1100%+$115
yes Atlanta,yes Philadelphia,yes New York Y,yes Boston,yes Miami,yes Tampa Bay,yes New York M,yes A's,yes Kansas City,yes Texas,yes Cleveland,yes Cincinnati,yes San Diego,yes Chicago C,yes Los Angeles D,yes Toronto,yes Atlanta,yes Miami4100%+$839
Chicago wins1+$0
KXBTC15M-26SEP271330-306+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$90
Mar 2026-$6
Apr 2026-$1
Jun 2026-$4
Sep 2026+$2.9K
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies smart.stroke.
Bring smart.stroke into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.