rivomarkets
Kalshi

smokeawoood

+$7.1K
Tracked Trades
947
First Seen
May 7, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Followers
2,049
Best In NBA
29% won · 17 settled · +$4.6K

smokeawoood is a Kalshi trader with 947 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 9 wins and 66 losses on settled markets, $7.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Matthew Stafford: 300+,yes Davante Adams: 100+,yes Kyren Williams: 100+,yes Over 36.5 points on Sep 28.

Win rate
12%
Return on settled
+163%
Money traded
$47.5K
Typical trade
$9
Copy score
2/100
Kalshi rank
#686

Profit over time

+$7.4K-$324
May 7Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7487%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢15627%29%+2 pts
40 to 60¢1744%40%-4 pts
60 to 80¢1169%
Over 80¢1590%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $52370%-$63
$5 to $92377%-$31
$9 to $4723713%+$3.8K
$47 to $2.2K23626%+$3.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays6495%+$3.3K
NBA3529%+$4.6K
Soccer8925%+$61
Baseball620%-$23
WNBA460%-$474
Golf30%-$94

Side taken

Yes 94%6% No

If you had copied smokeawoood

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$6190
Profit
on $4800 staked
3-45
Record
6% win rate
+129%
Return
473 still open
Profit over time48 settled trades
+$6.4K-$1.1K
Jun 29Sep 28
-$4.1K
Max drawdown
241% below peak
1.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.38×
Profit factor
$10.7K won vs $4.5K lost
-4.4 pts
Edge vs implied
6% won at 11¢ avg
Longest losing streak
41
Deepest drawdown
41 trades

By category

other48 settled+129%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

437 open positions worth $24.0K

The markets smokeawoood is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what smokeawoood is holding

Recent positions

yes Matthew Stafford: 300+,yes Davante Adams: 100+,yes Kyren Williams: 100+,yes Over 36.5 points
Sep 28, avg 4¢
BUYYES$28-$28
yes Bo Nix: 225+,yes Matthew Stafford: 250+,yes Davante Adams: 70+,yes Blake Corum: 50+,yes Jaylen Waddle: 1+,yes Kyren Williams: 1+
Sep 28, avg 1¢
BUYYES$28-$28
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 27, avg 28¢
SELLNO$1.2KOpen
See every position across 783 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Bryce Young: 225+,yes Joe Burrow: 250+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 225+,yes Tyler Shough: 250+,yes Travis Kelce: 50+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 90+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+
    $47 on Yes, Sep 27
    +$4.2K
  2. 2
    Game 5: Cleveland at Detroit Winner?
    $508 on Yes, May 14
    +$3.7K
  3. 3
    Game 6: Detroit at Cleveland Winner?
    $959 on Yes, May 15
    +$1.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Game 5: Cleveland at Detroit Winner?975%+$3.7K
yes Gabby Williams: 10+,yes Nneka Ogwumike: 20+,yes A'ja Wilson: 25+,yes Jackie Young: 20+,yes Kahleah Copper: 15+,yes Nneka Ogwumike: 8+,yes A'ja Wilson: 8+2+$0
Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance5+$0
Game 6: Detroit at Cleveland Winner?2100%+$1.5K
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

May 2026+$4.5K
Jun 2026-$32
Jul 2026-$35
Aug 2026-$451
Sep 2026+$3.1K

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