Sourpatchkids
sourpatchkids
+$2.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 295
- First Seen
- Sep 12, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 28, 2026
- Followers
- 3
- Best In Bitcoin
- 62% won · 143 settled · +$2.3K
Sourpatchkids is a Kalshi trader with 295 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 150 wins and 82 losses on settled markets, $2.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Alafia Ayeni,yes Arthur Fils,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas on Sep 28.
- Win rate
- 65%
- Return on settled
- +7%
- Money traded
- $37.2K
- Typical trade
- $37
- Copy score
- 58/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,880
Profit over time
+$2.5K-$1.4K
Sep 12Sep 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢212%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢828%71%+44 pts
40 to 60¢10452%47%-5 pts
60 to 80¢10369%70%+1 pts
Over 80¢7889%100%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $57471%-$6
$5 to $377457%-$119
$38 to $1767455%+$210
$176 to $1.5K7375%+$1.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin18962%+$2.3K
Parlays760%-$621
Tennis3142%+$241
Baseball660%-$662
Esports2254%+$148
XRP24100%+$105
Side taken
Yes 58%42% No
If you had copied Sourpatchkids
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$914
Profit
on $23200 staked
150-82
Record
65% win rate
+4%
Return
20 still open
+$914-$479
Sep 7Sep 28
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
154% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.11×
Profit factor
$9.1K won vs $8.2K lost
+0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
65% won at 64¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 11
- Deepest drawdown
- 25 trades
By category
crypto6 settled+5%
other221 settled+5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
8 open positions worth $2.7K
The markets Sourpatchkids is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
yes Alafia Ayeni,yes Arthur Fils,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas
Sep 28, avg 57¢
yes Sijia Wei,yes Correcaminos,yes Tepatitlan,yes Abejas de Leon,yes Freseros de Irapuato,yes Fuerza Regia,yes Diablos Rojos Del Mexico,yes HOU Texans,yes LA Chargers,yes Atlanta,yes Connecticut
Sep 28, avg 57¢
Parlay: San Francisco + Kansas City + Buffalo + Seattle
Sep 27, avg 39¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$836BTC price up in next 15 mins?$772 on No, Sep 25
- 2+$652yes Sijia Wei,yes Correcaminos,yes Tepatitlan,yes Abejas de Leon,yes Freseros de Irapuato,yes Fuerza Regia,yes Diablos Rojos Del Mexico,yes HOU Texans,yes LA Chargers,yes Atlanta,yes Connecticut$735 on Yes, Sep 20
- 3+$508Bitcoin price on Sep 16, 2026?$368 on Yes, Sep 16
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?18561%+$1.7K
yes Sijia Wei,yes Correcaminos,yes Tepatitlan,yes Abejas de Leon,yes Freseros de Irapuato,yes Fuerza Regia,yes Diablos Rojos Del Mexico,yes HOU Texans,yes LA Chargers,yes Atlanta,yes Connecticut2100%+$652
Chicago C wins30%-$766
yes Alastair Gray,yes Caroline Dolehide10%-$1.2K
XRP price up in next 15 mins?24100%+$105
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 1Sep 28
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$2.0K
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