surprised.hamster1678
+$1.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 968
- First Seen
- Aug 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 23, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 82% won · 598 settled · +$2.0K
surprised.hamster1678 is a Kalshi trader with 968 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 498 wins and 132 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 23.
- Win rate
- 79%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $66.8K
- Typical trade
- $7
- Copy score
- 76/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,950
Profit over time
+$3.8K-$302
Aug 24Sep 23
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2553%20%+17 pts
20 to 40¢5131%14%-17 pts
40 to 60¢9250%29%-21 pts
60 to 80¢7371%76%+6 pts
Over 80¢49792%92%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $024275%-$1
$0 to $724275%-$25
$7 to $5124269%-$566
$54 to $1.5K24291%+$2.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin92282%+$2.0K
Tennis4631%-$192
Side taken
Yes 54%46% No
If you had copied surprised.hamster1678
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$3630
Profit
on $63000 staked
498-132
Record
79% win rate
-6%
Return
9 still open
+$643-$3.6K
Aug 17Sep 21
-$4.7K
Max drawdown
493% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.72×
Profit factor
$9.6K won vs $13.2K lost
-2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
79% won at 81¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 37
- Deepest drawdown
- 608 trades
By category
crypto20 settled+13%
other610 settled-6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
4 open positions worth $107
The markets surprised.hamster1678 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 23, avg 92¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 23, avg 88¢
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 23, avg 88¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$320BTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.6K on No, Sep 22
- 2+$305BTC price up in next 15 mins?$785 on No, Sep 22
- 3+$276BTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.3K on Yes, Sep 21
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?92282%+$2.0K
Mirra Andreeva wins200%-$165
Elena Rybakina wins8100%+$113
Aryna Sabalenka wins817%-$53
Qinwen Zheng wins40%-$186
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 26Sep 23
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$0
Sep 2026+$1.8K
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