sweat.dough
-$6.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 998
- First Seen
- Feb 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 22, 2026
- Followers
- 2
- Best In Baseball
- 76% won · 29 settled · +$1.4K
sweat.dough is a Kalshi trader with 998 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 185 wins and 115 losses on settled markets, -$6.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: New Jersey wins on Sep 22.
- Win rate
- 62%
- Return on settled
- -10%
- Money traded
- $229.3K
- Typical trade
- $79
- Copy score
- 56/100
- Kalshi rank
- #4,317
Profit over time
+$0-$8.7K
Feb 14Sep 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7210%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢6731%67%+36 pts
40 to 60¢39552%65%+12 pts
60 to 80¢38966%62%-5 pts
Over 80¢7589%50%-39 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2025075%+$158
$20 to $7925063%+$497
$80 to $28924959%-$9
$290 to $3.3K24950%-$7.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis32154%-$7.5K
Parlays9829%-$883
Baseball17476%+$1.4K
Hockey10665%+$1.2K
Golf8433%-$232
College basketball5654%-$595
Side taken
Yes 71%29% No
If you had copied sweat.dough
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1721
Profit
on $6100 staked
42-19
Record
69% win rate
+28%
Return
120 still open
+$1.7K-$45
Jun 29Sep 21
-$682
Max drawdown
31% below peak
2.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.91×
Profit factor
$3.6K won vs $1.9K lost
+17.4 pts
Edge vs implied
69% won at 51¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 4
- Deepest drawdown
- 16 trades
By category
other50 settled+47%
sports10 settled-67%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
66 open positions worth $17.3K
The markets sweat.dough is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
New Jersey wins
Sep 22, avg 64¢
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 22, avg 56¢
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 21, avg 48¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.1KWill Collin Morikawa win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$1.3K on Yes, Feb 15
- 2+$2.1KDetroit vs Cincinnati Winner?$2.0K on Yes, Apr 24
- 3+$1.4Kyes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points$1.3K on Yes, Sep 21
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will Ugo Humbert win the Humbert vs Atmane: Round Of 64 match?40%-$3.1K
Will Rafael Jodar win the Tabilo vs Jodar : Round Of 128 match?120%-$2.4K
Alex Michelsen wins110%-$2.7K
Detroit vs Cincinnati Winner?4100%+$2.1K
yes Atlanta,yes San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 25Sep 22
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$1.9K
Mar 2026-$1.8K
Apr 2026-$1.5K
May 2026-$1.9K
Jun 2026+$7
Jul 2026+$1.3K
Aug 2026+$510
Sep 2026-$1.2K
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