TheRealKiller
therealkiller
+$1.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 367
- First Seen
- Dec 19, 2025
- Last Trade
- Sep 24, 2026
- Followers
- 4
- Best In College football
- 75% won · 24 settled · +$994
TheRealKiller is a Kalshi trader with 367 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 62 wins and 77 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: New York M wins on Sep 24.
- Win rate
- 45%
- Return on settled
- +12%
- Money traded
- $38.5K
- Typical trade
- $63
- Copy score
- 44/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,940
Profit over time
+$2.0K-$1.4K
Dec 19Sep 24
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6410%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢10230%47%+17 pts
40 to 60¢13451%51%+0 pts
60 to 80¢5567%62%-5 pts
Over 80¢1289%100%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $239232%-$110
$23 to $639230%-$654
$64 to $1469255%+$70
$147 to $1.4K9160%+$2.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays14724%+$904
Baseball6757%+$134
College football3875%+$994
NFL5638%+$539
MMA2813%-$544
Boxing425%-$171
Side taken
Yes 82%18% No
If you had copied TheRealKiller
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$820
Profit
on $9200 staked
50-42
Record
54% win rate
+9%
Return
92 still open
+$1.1K-$300
Jul 6Sep 21
-$802
Max drawdown
57% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.20×
Profit factor
$5.0K won vs $4.2K lost
+7.1 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 47¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 5
- Deepest drawdown
- 13 trades
By category
other90 settled+7%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
76 open positions worth $12.7K
The markets TheRealKiller is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
New York M wins
Sep 24, avg 51¢
Full Game: over 45.5 points scored?
Sep 20, avg 51¢
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 17, avg 90¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.4Kyes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points$570 on Yes, Sep 9
- 2+$761Over 50.5 points scored$479 on No, Sep 13
- 3+$492New York M wins$512 on Yes, Sep 24
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points3100%+$1.9K
Over 50.5 points scored15100%+$761
Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner?6+$0
Will Indianapolis win the Indianapolis vs New England Pro Football game?12+$0
St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner?6+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 27Sep 24
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$25
Jan 2026-$494
Feb 2026+$113
Jun 2026-$85
Aug 2026-$701
Sep 2026+$3.0K
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