thetrashman
+$2.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 642
- First Seen
- Nov 13, 2025
- Last Trade
- Sep 28, 2026
- Followers
- 11
- Best In Tennis
- 29% won · 192 settled · +$2.0K
thetrashman is a Kalshi trader with 642 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 99 wins and 215 losses on settled markets, $2.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNFL1SEED-NFC26-PHI on Sep 28.
- Win rate
- 32%
- Return on settled
- +19%
- Money traded
- $44.1K
- Typical trade
- $19
- Copy score
- 21/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,692
Profit over time
+$3.3K-$16
Nov 13Sep 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢24210%8%-2 pts
20 to 40¢21128%43%+15 pts
40 to 60¢10046%34%-12 pts
60 to 80¢1273%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢7796%100%+4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $616121%-$46
$6 to $1916128%+$196
$19 to $4516033%+$128
$45 to $1.3K16046%+$2.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis27829%+$2.0K
Parlays1300%-$892
Basketball32+$0
NBA6859%+$1.5K
NFL3925%-$62
College football850%+$16
Side taken
Yes 83%17% No
If you had copied thetrashman
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$3951
Profit
on $24900 staked
65-184
Record
26% win rate
-16%
Return
160 still open
+$0-$7.2K
Jun 29Sep 28
-$8.4K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.79×
Profit factor
$14.4K won vs $18.4K lost
-1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 28¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 36
- Deepest drawdown
- 174 trades
By category
other247 settled-16%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
76 open positions worth $4.9K
The markets thetrashman is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
KXNFL1SEED-NFC26-PHI
Sep 28, avg 94¢
Martin Landaluce wins
Sep 28, avg 30¢
yes Charlotte,yes Portland,yes San Diego FC,yes San Jose,yes Dallas,yes Atlanta,yes New England
Sep 28, avg 35¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$994Kimberly Birrell wins$543 on Yes, Sep 26
- 2+$966Tomas Machac wins$966 on Yes, Sep 28
- 3+$941Alec Deckers wins$266 on Yes, Sep 27
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Keaton Hance wins120%-$539
What will be LeBron James's next team?14+$0
What will be Steph Curry's next team?12+$0
Yunchaokete Bu wins20%-$390
Karen Khachanov wins80%-$243
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 1Sep 28
Profit by month
Nov 2025-$9
Dec 2025+$36
Feb 2026-$9
Apr 2026+$320
May 2026+$686
Jun 2026+$270
Jul 2026-$136
Aug 2026+$208
Sep 2026+$998
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