thin
+$2.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 2,744
- First Seen
- Aug 7, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 28, 2026
- Followers
- 4
- Best In Parlays
- 35% won · 63 settled · +$4.7K
thin is a Kalshi trader with 2,744 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 505 wins and 467 losses on settled markets, $2.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Gauthier Onclin + Jerome Kym + Zsombor Piros + Pedro Sakamoto + Hubert Hurkacz on Sep 28.
- Win rate
- 52%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $357.2K
- Typical trade
- $20
- Copy score
- 49/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,744
Profit over time
+$6.0K-$5.7K
Aug 7Sep 23
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢32711%5%-6 pts
20 to 40¢53731%33%+2 pts
40 to 60¢75350%52%+2 pts
60 to 80¢64468%69%+1 pts
Over 80¢48389%92%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $568647%+$68
$5 to $2068656%-$117
$20 to $9668649%-$2.3K
$96 to $5.9K68656%+$4.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis121852%-$2.1K
Parlays12634%+$3.7K
Baseball31161%-$79
Bitcoin27954%+$1.2K
Esports41055%-$293
Soccer4117%+$532
Side taken
Yes 64%36% No
If you had copied thin
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$318
Profit
on $97200 staked
505-467
Record
52% win rate
-0%
Return
396 still open
+$359-$16.2K
Aug 3Sep 21
-$16.8K
Max drawdown
3065% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.99×
Profit factor
$46.4K won vs $46.7K lost
+1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 51¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 35
- Deepest drawdown
- 655 trades
By category
culture37 settled+6%
sports27 settled+3%
other905 settled-1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
116 open positions worth $34.0K
The markets thin is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Parlay: Gauthier Onclin + Jerome Kym + Zsombor Piros + Pedro Sakamoto + Hubert Hurkacz
Sep 28, avg 87¢
Parlay: Butler + Baylor + UTSA + Lehigh + Elon + Merrimack + Marist + Texas + UNLV + Virginia Tech + Louisville
Sep 26, avg 89¢
Hugo Dellien wins
Sep 23, avg 94¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.8Kyes Pavel Lagutin,yes Oriol Roca Batalla,yes Luka Mikrut$950 on Yes, Sep 15
- 2+$2.0KNew York Y wins$1.7K on No, Sep 16
- 3+$1.8Kyes Matisse Bobichon,yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Borna Gojo,yes Luka Mikrut,yes Bernard Tomic$473 on Yes, Sep 15
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?19051%+$1.5K
Robert Strombachs wins12100%+$2.5K
Asylzhan Arystanbekova wins31100%+$2.1K
Elena Korokozidi wins4093%+$1.1K
Yuhan Wang wins960%-$5.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 1Sep 28
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$249
Sep 2026+$2.5K
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