rivomarkets

tommydoesnotwin

-$3.0K
Tracked Trades
313
First Seen
Jul 1, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 27, 2026
Followers
3
Best In Soccer
15% won · 13 settled · +$939

tommydoesnotwin is a Kalshi trader with 313 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 2 wins and 15 losses on settled markets, -$3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: New England wins on Sep 27.

Win rate
12%
Return on settled
-57%
Money traded
$25.6K
Typical trade
$23
Copy score
6/100
Kalshi rank
#4,248

Profit over time

+$1.4K-$3.0K
Jul 1Sep 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3110%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢10732%29%-4 pts
40 to 60¢10550%0%-50 pts
60 to 80¢4968%
Over 80¢2193%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $10790%-$3
$10 to $23780%-$84
$23 to $81780%-$72
$88 to $1.4K7822%-$2.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer8415%+$939
Esports183+$0
Parlays100%-$2.5K
NFL10%-$1.4K
College football15+$0
WNBA13+$0

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied tommydoesnotwin

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$274
Profit
on $900 staked
2-7
Record
22% win rate
-30%
Return
237 still open
Profit over time9 settled trades
+$426-$274
Jun 29Sep 21

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.

By category

other8 settled-22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

54 open positions worth $13.3K

The markets tommydoesnotwin is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what tommydoesnotwin is holding

Recent positions

New England wins
Sep 27, avg 41¢
BUYYES$1.4K-$1.4K
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 26, avg 32¢
BUYYES$955-$955
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 26, avg 27¢
BUYYES$1.0K-$1.0K
See every position across 62 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Brazil vs Norway: To Advance
    $716 on Yes, Jul 5
    +$1.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points30%-$2.5K
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?5+$0
Norway vs England: To Advance30%-$373
New England wins10%-$1.4K
Will Spain win the 1st Half?11+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 30Sep 27

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$939
Sep 2026-$3.9K

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