Tpgpicks
tpgpicks
+$1.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 273
- First Seen
- Oct 30, 2025
- Last Trade
- Sep 25, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 52% won · 71 settled · +$1.2K
Tpgpicks is a Kalshi trader with 273 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 75 wins and 67 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Green Bay wins on Sep 25.
- Win rate
- 53%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $63.4K
- Typical trade
- $198
- Copy score
- 48/100
- Kalshi rank
- #2,253
Profit over time
+$2.4K-$2.3K
Oct 31Sep 25
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1114%0%-14 pts
20 to 40¢6331%35%+5 pts
40 to 60¢8351%63%+12 pts
60 to 80¢9968%57%-11 pts
Over 80¢1787%60%-27 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $966933%-$823
$96 to $1986864%+$1.9K
$215 to $2946850%+$63
$294 to $1.5K6862%+$149
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer8559%+$593
NFL10152%+$1.2K
Baseball3758%+$189
College football2867%+$283
MMA633%-$637
College basketball70%-$94
Side taken
Yes 94%6% No
If you had copied Tpgpicks
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1271
Profit
on $5700 staked
35-22
Record
61% win rate
+22%
Return
30 still open
+$1.4K-$414
Jun 29Sep 21
-$886
Max drawdown
320% below peak
1.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.58×
Profit factor
$3.5K won vs $2.2K lost
+9.2 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 52¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 26 trades
By category
other57 settled+22%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
21 open positions worth $8.3K
The markets Tpgpicks is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Green Bay wins
Sep 25, 4 fills, avg 51¢
Green Bay wins
Sep 25, avg 87¢
San Diego wins
Sep 24, avg 44¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$907Atlanta at Tampa Bay Winner?$478 on Yes, Dec 12
- 2+$897New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins?$480 on Yes, Sep 10
- 3+$851Las Vegas wins$382 on Yes, Sep 20
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Green Bay wins50%-$967
France vs England: To Advance4+$0
Denver at Kansas City Winner?20%-$236
Green Bay at Chicago Winner?920%-$275
Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance3+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 28Sep 25
Profit by month
Oct 2025+$17
Nov 2025+$158
Dec 2025+$756
Jan 2026-$2.0K
Feb 2026-$86
Apr 2026+$93
May 2026-$186
Jun 2026+$943
Jul 2026-$1.1K
Aug 2026+$47
Sep 2026+$2.8K
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