rivomarkets

Hourglass

0x1d8c256b15d3cd1f5db221e70c77f552eb8d757a

+$2
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 27, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Best In Tech and AI
86% won · 29 settled · +$3

Hourglass is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 78 wins and 11 losses on settled markets, $2 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? on Sep 29.

Win rate
88%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$67.0K
Typical trade
$49
Copy score
79/100
Polymarket rank
#2,164

Profit over time

+$37-$50
Sep 27Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢116%0%-6 pts
20 to 40¢925%
40 to 60¢6551%0%-51 pts
60 to 80¢5273%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢86397%100%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2425042%-$38
$24 to $4925089%+$5
$49 to $6325095%-$33
$63 to $500250100%+$68

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer414+$0
Other politics14089%-$8
Companies117+$0
Baseball67100%+$2
Tech and AI4886%+$3
Entertainment56+$0

Side taken

Yes 0%100% No

If you had copied Hourglass

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$599
Profit
on $8900 staked
78-11
Record
88% win rate
-7%
Return
911 still open
Profit over time89 settled trades
+$24-$599
Sep 21Sep 28
-$721
Max drawdown
594% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.46×
Profit factor
$501 won vs $1.1K lost
+0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
88% won at 87¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
76 trades

By category

culture88 settled-7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

241 open positions worth $60.2K

The markets Hourglass is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Hourglass is holding

Recent positions

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 100¢
BUYNO$40Open
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?
Sep 29, avg 92¢
BUYNO$18Open
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 100¢
BUYNO$40Open
See every position across 269 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
    $322 on No, Sep 28
    +$120
  2. 2
    Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
    $168 on No, Sep 28
    +$26
  3. 3
    Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
    $402 on No, Sep 28
    +$25
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?48+$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?48+$0
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?47+$0
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?47+$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?47+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$2

Similar Polymarket traders

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