rivomarkets

df4d8fa4sdf5

0x53b933bec5f65d5363ee1041050d265517964b3d

+$247
Tracked Trades
290
First Seen
Aug 15, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Best In Economic data
71% won · 14 settled · +$416

df4d8fa4sdf5 is a Polymarket trader with 290 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 12 wins and 12 losses on settled markets, $247 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31? on Sep 29.

Win rate
50%
Return on settled
+16%
Money traded
$19.8K
Typical trade
$39
Copy score
31/100
Polymarket rank
#2,214

Profit over time

+$560-$48
Aug 15Sep 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4012%20%+8 pts
20 to 40¢9130%45%+15 pts
40 to 60¢8950%75%+25 pts
60 to 80¢5568%
Over 80¢1584%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $257363%+$87
$25 to $3973100%+$158
$39 to $867229%-$30
$87 to $5197243%+$31

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Mentions1820%-$113
Tech and AI4233%+$83
Economic data2771%+$416
Companies12100%+$202
Esports6+$0
Fed and rates5+$0

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied df4d8fa4sdf5

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1426
Profit
on $2400 staked
12-12
Record
50% win rate
+59%
Return
152 still open
Profit over time24 settled trades
+$1.4K-$100
Aug 10Sep 21
-$400
Max drawdown
26% below peak
3.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.19×
Profit factor
$2.6K won vs $1.2K lost
+17.7 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 32¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
4 trades

By category

finance16 settled+111%
culture5 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

66 open positions worth $9.6K

The markets df4d8fa4sdf5 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what df4d8fa4sdf5 is holding

Recent positions

Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?
Sep 29, 4 fills, avg 22¢
SELLYES$244Open
Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?
Sep 26, 2 fills, avg 12¢
BUYYES$127Open
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?
Sep 23, avg 25¢
SELLYES$101Open
See every position across 69 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?
    $567 on No, Aug 26
    +$692
  2. 2
    Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
    $55 on No, Sep 2
    +$202
  3. 3
    Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
    $37 on Yes, Aug 27
    +$128
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Andy Burnham say "Police" during the next PMQ?36+$0
Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?38+$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?4+$0
Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?1680%+$519
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?14+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$191
Sep 2026+$56

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