rivomarkets

Arbguy

0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d6177

+$10.9K
Tracked Trades
22
First Seen
Aug 24, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026

Arbguy is a Polymarket trader with 22 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 4 wins and 5 losses on settled markets, $10.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? on Sep 28.

Win rate
44%
Return on settled
+19%
Money traded
$147.4K
Typical trade
$6.8K
Copy score
19/100
Polymarket rank
#1,051

Profit over time

+$37.6K+$0
Sep 13Sep 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢216%
20 to 40¢732%50%+18 pts
40 to 60¢753%40%-13 pts
60 to 80¢370%
Over 80¢385%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$508 to $1.9K60%-$3.4K
$3.3K to $7.2K60%-$7.2K
$7.6K to $8.1K550%+$7.6K
$8.1K to $22K5100%+$13.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Other culture2244%+$10.9K

Side taken

Yes 36%64% No

If you had copied Arbguy

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$17
Profit
on $900 staked
4-5
Record
44% win rate
-2%
Return
13 still open
Profit over time9 settled trades
+$483-$17
Aug 24Sep 28

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.

By category

sports9 settled-2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

7 open positions worth $89.2K

The markets Arbguy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Arbguy is holding

Recent positions

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
Sep 28, 2 fills, avg 80¢
BUYNO$8.0KOpen
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Sep 28, avg 65¢
BUYNO$7.8KOpen
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Sep 28, avg 95¢
BUYNO$9.7KOpen
See every position across 11 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Cowboys vs. Giants
    $15.2K on Giants, Sep 13
    +$23.8K
  2. 2
    Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
    $16.3K on Giants, Sep 13
    +$13.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?2+$0
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)2100%+$13.8K
Giants vs. Rams20%-$16.2K
Cowboys vs. Giants2100%+$23.8K
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$10.9K

How they build positions

Opened a new position75%
Added to a position25%

Similar Polymarket traders

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