rivomarkets

NefariousX

0xa1ed2ae1eaaa057b6d09204cbb0808ef78a4e774

-$1.7K
Tracked Trades
23
First Seen
Aug 21, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 25, 2026

NefariousX is a Polymarket trader with 23 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 3 wins and 3 losses on settled markets, -$1.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? on Sep 25.

Win rate
50%
Return on settled
-19%
Money traded
$26.8K
Typical trade
$1.0K
Copy score
19/100
Polymarket rank
#2,976

Profit over time

+$0-$3.2K
Sep 6Sep 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢119%0%-19 pts
20 to 40¢1431%
40 to 60¢250%0%-49 pts
60 to 80¢378%100%+22 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$521 to $75050%-$749
$832 to $10005+$0
$1.0K to $1.4K550%-$1.9K
$1.4K to $3.6K5100%+$955

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections11+$0
Fed and rates850%-$1.7K
World politics1+$0

Side taken

Yes 100%0% No

If you had copied NefariousX

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$217
Profit
on $600 staked
3-3
Record
50% win rate
-36%
Return
12 still open
Profit over time6 settled trades
+$0-$217
Aug 17Sep 21

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 6 so far.

By category

finance6 settled-36%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $16.7K

The markets NefariousX is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what NefariousX is holding

Recent positions

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Sep 25, avg 38¢
BUYYES$832Open
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Sep 22, 11 fills, avg 32¢
BUYYES$15.9KOpen
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Sep 13, 3 fills, avg 79¢
BUYYES$5.7K+$1.5K
See every position across 4 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $5.7K on Yes, Sep 13
    +$1.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House11+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?3100%+$1.5K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?50%-$3.2K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 28Sep 25

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$1.7K

How they build positions

Added to a position40%
Trimmed a position40%
Opened a new position20%

Similar Polymarket traders

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