rivomarkets
Kalshi

Ad.pickem

ad.pickem

-$492
Tracked Trades
212
First Seen
Nov 6, 2024
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026

Ad.pickem is a Kalshi trader with 212 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 10 wins and 29 losses on settled markets, -$492 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes CIN Bengals,yes KC Chiefs,yes LA Rams,yes MIA Dolphins,yes NE Patriots,yes DET Lions on Sep 28.

Win rate
26%
Return on settled
-13%
Money traded
$26.1K
Typical trade
$61
Copy score
26/100
Kalshi rank
#4,010

Profit over time

+$101-$1.3K
Oct 13Sep 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6210%13%+3 pts
20 to 40¢4630%8%-22 pts
40 to 60¢6550%56%+6 pts
60 to 80¢2367%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢1690%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $195312%-$47
$19 to $605327%-$222
$62 to $1455350%+$1.1K
$145 to $1.2K5340%-$1.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays7057%+$704
Baseball3225%-$420
College football3880%-$317
NFL455%-$289
NBA130%-$171
US elections3+$0

Side taken

Yes 76%24% No

If you had copied Ad.pickem

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$969
Profit
on $2000 staked
9-11
Record
45% win rate
+48%
Return
6 still open
Profit over time20 settled trades
+$969-$458
Sep 7Sep 28
-$900
Max drawdown
767% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.88×
Profit factor
$2.1K won vs $1.1K lost
+15.6 pts
Edge vs implied
45% won at 29¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
9 trades

By category

other20 settled+48%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

6 open positions worth $1.7K

The markets Ad.pickem is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Ad.pickem is holding

Recent positions

no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored
Sep 28, avg 71¢
BUYYES$1.2KOpen
yes Argentina,yes Canada,yes Brazil,yes Japan,yes Brazil,yes Argentina,yes America wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Seattle,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Pittsburgh,yes Philadelphia,yes Romania
Sep 28, avg 4¢
BUYYES$20Open
yes Jacoby Brissett: 150+,yes Brock Purdy: 150+,yes Lamar Jackson: 150+,yes Dak Prescott: 175+,yes Bo Nix: 150+,yes Matthew Stafford: 150+,yes Kirk Cousins: 200+,yes Tyler Shough: 175+,yes Kyler Murray: 150+,yes Baker Mayfield: 150+
Sep 27, avg 54¢
SELLNO$274Open
See every position across 130 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Bryce Young: 150+,yes Joe Burrow: 200+,yes C.J. Stroud: 150+,yes Daniel Jones: 150+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 150+,yes Josh Allen: 175+,yes Justin Herbert: 150+,yes Trevor Lawrence: 175+,yes Drake Maye: 150+,yes Jared Goff: 175+,yes Geno Smith: 150+,yes Sam Darnold: 150+,yes Marcus Mariota: 125+,yes Cam Ward: 125+
    $94 on Yes, Sep 27
    +$810
  2. 2
    yes Jacoby Brissett: 150+,yes Brock Purdy: 150+,yes Lamar Jackson: 150+,yes Dak Prescott: 175+,yes Bo Nix: 150+,yes Matthew Stafford: 150+,yes Kirk Cousins: 200+,yes Tyler Shough: 175+,yes Kyler Murray: 150+,yes Baker Mayfield: 150+
    $95 on Yes, Sep 27
    +$411
  3. 3
    yes Wyoming,yes Wyoming over 20.5 points scored
    $96 on Yes, Sep 26
    +$185
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored20%-$773
South Florida at North Texas Winner?7+$0
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored2100%+$152
Los Angeles D vs Toronto (Game 6) Winner?350%-$305
Toronto vs Seattle (Game 5) Winner?5+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$1.1K
Nov 2025+$33
Dec 2025-$133
Mar 2026-$33
May 2026-$123
Sep 2026+$838

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