rivomarkets

cheddarbay

-$500
Tracked Trades
65
First Seen
May 14, 2025
Last Trade
May 23, 2026
Followers
1

cheddarbay is a Kalshi trader with 65 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 7 losses on settled markets, -$500 net profit on those trades.

Win rate
46%
Return on settled
-60%
Money traded
$2.7K

Profit over time

+$66-$500
Feb 8May 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢25%
20 to 40¢630%
40 to 60¢2151%43%-8 pts
60 to 80¢2569%50%-19 pts
Over 80¢1192%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $81767%-$6
$8 to $221650%-$10
$24 to $471620%-$98
$49 to $4871667%-$386

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Basketball40%-$487
Other culture9+$0
College basketball867%+$17
Baseball1340%+$1
NBA9100%+$5
Entertainment70%-$53

Side taken

Yes 65%35% No

If you had copied cheddarbay

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Nothing to simulate

We have not tracked an entry from cheddarbay in the last 90 days.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

A's vs San Diego Winner?
May 23, avg 62¢
BUYYES$34-$34
Will Oklahoma City score over 117.5 points?
May 23, 5 fills, avg 71¢
SELLYES$88Open
Will Oklahoma City score over 117.5 points?
May 22, avg 79¢
BUYNO$99Open
See every position across 34 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    USA vs Dominican Republic Winner?
    $64 on Yes, Mar 15
    +$55
  2. 2
    Kentucky at Iowa St. Winner?
    $98 on Yes, Mar 22
    +$46
  3. 3
    What will the announcers say during 2026 Pro Football Championship?
    $24 on No, Feb 8
    +$18
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will South Carolina win the Women's College Basketball National Championship?10%-$487
Will Ben Shapiro condemn Trump's post on the morning of 12/15 about the passing of Rob Reiner before Dec 21, 2025?9+$0
Men's March Madness Round of 64 Qualifiers3+$0
Will Oklahoma City score over 117.5 points?6+$0
Bodoe/Glimt at Sporting CP: Totals2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Feb 23May 23

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$6
Mar 2026+$72
Apr 2026-$487
May 2026-$78

Similar Kalshi traders

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