AdamShot
adamshot
+$5.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 764
- First Seen
- Jun 27, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 27, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 35% won · 66 settled · +$4.4K
AdamShot is a Kalshi trader with 764 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 41 wins and 97 losses on settled markets, $5.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: San Francisco + Baltimore + Minnesota on Sep 27.
- Win rate
- 30%
- Return on settled
- +41%
- Money traded
- $92.6K
- Typical trade
- $48
- Copy score
- 23/100
- Kalshi rank
- #926
Profit over time
+$5.6K-$206
Jun 27Sep 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4678%15%+7 pts
20 to 40¢16629%31%+2 pts
40 to 60¢7847%60%+13 pts
60 to 80¢1968%80%+12 pts
Over 80¢3390%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2819126%+$273
$28 to $4819110%-$568
$50 to $11519137%+$765
$116 to $3.7K19048%+$4.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays51735%+$4.4K
Soccer13553%+$1.1K
Tennis586%-$434
Baseball4423%+$284
Esports4+$0
Golf1+$0
Side taken
Yes 90%10% No
If you had copied AdamShot
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2383
Profit
on $13200 staked
40-92
Record
30% win rate
+18%
Return
553 still open
+$2.4K+$0
Jun 29Sep 21
-$2.5K
Max drawdown
108% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.26×
Profit factor
$11.6K won vs $9.2K lost
+5.7 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 25¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 83 trades
By category
other131 settled+17%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
469 open positions worth $48.1K
The markets AdamShot is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Parlay: San Francisco + Baltimore + Minnesota
Sep 27, avg 57¢
Parlay: San Francisco + Baltimore + Minnesota
Sep 27, avg 44¢
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 26, avg 43¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.9Kyes Kent St.,yes Pittsburgh,yes Baylor,yes UTSA,yes Holy Cross,yes Ohio St.,yes Eastern Michigan,yes Marist,yes Toledo,yes Texas Tech,yes Texas,yes UNLV,yes Kentucky,yes Wake Forest$283 on Yes, Sep 26
- 2+$1.2Kyes Pittsburgh,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Jacksonville,yes Detroit,yes New York J,yes Cincinnati$141 on Yes, Sep 13
- 3+$1.2KSpain wins by more than 1.5 goals?$380 on Yes, Jul 14
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points8100%+$761
yes Hammarby,yes Ryuki Matsuda,yes Club Brugge,yes Leipzig,yes Bayern Munich,yes Viking,yes Barcelona,yes SL Benfica,yes Lille,yes Lens,yes PSG,yes Diriyah Club,yes Napoli2+$0
yes Bayern Munich,yes Metizport,yes Molde,yes KFUM Oslo,yes Start,yes Manchester United,yes Barcelona,yes Tie,yes Sporting Cristal2+$0
yes Tie,yes Austin,yes Chicago Fire,yes Cruz Azul,yes Philadelphia,yes Seattle2+$0
Will both teams score in the 1st Half?4+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 30Sep 27
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$74
Jul 2026+$1.2K
Aug 2026+$613
Sep 2026+$3.6K
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