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Stats as of
chuck4
+$10.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,103
- First Seen
- May 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In MMA
- 35% won · 62 settled · +$6.9K
chuck4 is a Kalshi trader with 1,103 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 200 wins and 522 losses on settled markets, $10.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Miami (OH),yes Ohio,yes Montreal on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 28%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $537.7K
- Typical trade
- $254.23
- Avg entry
- 23¢
- Kalshi rank
- #813
Profit over time
+$27.1K-$1.7K
May 10Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢33112%15%+3 pts
20 to 40¢41528%30%+1 pts
40 to 60¢13948%54%+7 pts
60 to 80¢8972%33%-38 pts
Over 80¢12990%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $10927620%-$1.3K
$109 to $25427628%+$5.7K
$254 to $55827635%+$14.3K
$561 to $7.9K27527%-$8.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays80724%-$2.5K
NFL4338%-$2.7K
Baseball4941%+$4.6K
MMA8535%+$6.9K
Soccer6550%+$2.6K
College football2928%+$37.15
Side taken
Yes 65%35% No
If you had copied chuck4
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$194.19
Profit
on $43,200.00 staked
113-319
Record
26% win rate
+0%
Return
+$1.6K-$1.1K
Aug 3Nov 2
-$3.1K
Max drawdown
160% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.01×
Profit factor
$32.1K won vs $31.9K lost
+0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 25¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 43 trades
By category
sports165 settled+6%
other260 settled-1%
culture7 settled-49%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Miami (OH),yes Ohio,yes Montreal
Nov 3
yes Jiri Lehecka,yes Brandon Nakashima,yes Tommy Paul,yes Taylor Fritz
Nov 3
yes Golden State,yes Toronto
Nov 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$6.7KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202605042C1419C-32BCDABC47A$937.37 on Yes at 12¢, Oct 3
- 2+$4.8KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S20261B987BE9E64-5CF14510E8C$944.70 on Yes at 16¢, Sep 14
- 3+$4.3KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S20268D37CD41A85-770F21F943E$940.13 on Yes at 18¢, Sep 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes BYU,yes LSU,yes Cincinnati,yes Oregon St.,yes South Carolina,yes UCLA,yes Duke,yes Texas A&M,yes Virginia1+$0.00
New Orleans wins6¢30%-$806.93
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XFD6DOH5WJJUZOC2-IXGT65ZWE13¢20%-$847.97
CAR Panthers wins by over 6.5 points?18¢40%-$1.1K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S20267C407990688-53027216D711+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
May 2026+$900.20
Jun 2026+$2.5K
Jul 2026+$1.8K
Aug 2026+$1.3K
Sep 2026+$13.0K
Oct 2026-$12.0K
Nov 2026+$2.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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