Believe.it
believe.it
+$7.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 957
- First Seen
- Aug 12, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 28, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In NFL
- 88% won · 17 settled · +$3.8K
Believe.it is a Kalshi trader with 957 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 57 wins and 36 losses on settled markets, $7.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: LA Rams wins by over 10.5 points? on Sep 28.
- Win rate
- 61%
- Return on settled
- +34%
- Money traded
- $90.1K
- Typical trade
- $29
- Copy score
- 51/100
- Kalshi rank
- #617
Profit over time
+$7.8K-$1.2K
Aug 14Sep 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢3937%100%+63 pts
40 to 60¢70553%55%+3 pts
60 to 80¢21062%71%+8 pts
Over 80¢381%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $524050%+$2
$5 to $2923942%-$80
$29 to $10823961%+$278
$109 to $1.0K23972%+$7.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball91955%+$3.1K
NFL1788%+$3.8K
College football1958%+$1.8K
Parlays10%-$871
WNBA1+$0
Side taken
Yes 39%61% No
If you had copied Believe.it
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$794
Profit
on $9300 staked
57-36
Record
61% win rate
+9%
Return
749 still open
+$794-$1.1K
Aug 10Sep 28
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.22×
Profit factor
$4.4K won vs $3.6K lost
+5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 56¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 12
- Deepest drawdown
- 33 trades
By category
sports6 settled+42%
other86 settled+5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
111 open positions worth $61.3K
The markets Believe.it is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
LA Rams wins by over 10.5 points?
Sep 28, avg 46¢
Denver wins
Sep 27, avg 50¢
Tampa Bay wins
Sep 27, avg 48¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.2KWill Ole Miss win the LSU vs Ole Miss college football game?$962 on Yes, Sep 20
- 2+$1.2KDallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins?$963 on Yes, Sep 14
- 3+$1.0KDenver wins$1.0K on Yes, Sep 27
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Matthew Boyd: 18+ Outs Recorded?12+$0
Walbert Ureña: 16+ Outs Recorded?10+$0
Aaron Nola: 18+ Outs Recorded?18+$0
Griffin Jax: 15+ Outs Recorded?19+$0
Logan Gilbert: 18+ Outs Recorded?19+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 1Sep 28
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$760
Sep 2026+$7.0K
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