rivomarkets

broke.cactus

+$43
Tracked Trades
1,017
First Seen
Sep 11, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Followers
7
Best In Bitcoin
53% won · 212 settled · +$43

broke.cactus is a Kalshi trader with 1,017 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 113 wins and 99 losses on settled markets, $43 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 29.

Win rate
53%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$60.9K
Typical trade
$5
Copy score
47/100
Kalshi rank
#3,456

Profit over time

+$69-$532
Sep 11Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3415%0%-5 pts
20 to 40¢11831%86%+55 pts
40 to 60¢23748%53%+5 pts
60 to 80¢11070%81%+11 pts
Over 80¢21092%91%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125425%-$4
$1 to $525449%+$12
$5 to $2825456%+$47
$28 to $2.8K25483%-$15

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin101653%+$41

Side taken

Yes 53%47% No

If you had copied broke.cactus

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2549
Profit
on $21100 staked
112-99
Record
53% win rate
-12%
Return
19 still open
Profit over time211 settled trades
+$3-$2.5K
Sep 7Sep 28
-$3.9K
Max drawdown
2272% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.74×
Profit factor
$7.4K won vs $9.9K lost
+5.2 pts
Edge vs implied
53% won at 48¢ avg
Longest losing streak
18
Deepest drawdown
174 trades

By category

crypto18 settled+0%
other193 settled-13%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

9 open positions worth $3.1K

The markets broke.cactus is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what broke.cactus is holding

Recent positions

BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 29, avg 100¢
BUYYES$1.7K+$2
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 28, avg 100¢
BUYYES$1.7K+$2
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 28, avg 100¢
BUYYES$1.6K+$2
See every position across 120 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $198 on Yes, Sep 24
    +$303
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $80 on No, Sep 25
    +$167
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $407 on Yes, Sep 24
    +$121
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?101653%+$41

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$41

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